I believe there will soon be a snap state election in Selangor.
Sultan Sharafuddin Idris Shah will very likely dissolve the State assembly when he returns from abroad on Aug 27.
Because his royal highness may want to settle the unnecessary mess created by the gang of PKR's DS Anwar Ibrahim once and for all.
I also don't think the cool Sultan will let Anwar get away with all the nonsense of trying to turn Selangor into his private family property by giving the MB post to his wife.
After all, Anwar and his wife are both non-Selangorian.
Anwar is from the Lim family's kingdom of Penang, while his wife DS Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail was born in the Lee family's kingdom of Singapore.
I also believe that the now independent MB TS Abdul Khalid Ibrahim will advise the Sultan to dissolve the state assembly.
He would not want Anwar and the gang to win the State without having to go through a bruising fight.
After all, they had accused him of all sorts of things including being corrupted and selling his soul to BN.
He must also feel very pissed that Pas had stabbed him in the back and will not want that party to get away with it without paying a price. Read on and find out why Khalid may have his revenge over Pas if he wants it.
Khalid, I believe will make it as difficult as possible for Pakatan.
So, what will happen if there is a snap state election?
Currently, DAP has 15 state seats, Pas (15), PKR (13), BN (12) and Independent (1). There are a total of 56 seats in the Selangor assembly.
I am not so interested in DAP seats as I think they will have no problem defending them with the solid Chinese majority support in those constituencies under their control.
Attention should be in constituencies contested by Pas and PKR which have bigger percentage of Malay voters.
Let's go through them one by one based on the results of the last general election last year: I am putting the constituencies which BN stand a reasonable chance to win in blue.
N1 Sungai Air Tawar - Pas lost by 1,416 votes
N2 Sabak Bernam - Pas won by 219 votes
N3 Sungai Panjang - Pas lost by 2,183 votes
N5 Hulu Bernam - Pas lost by 3,032 votes
N7 Batang Kali - PKR lost by 5,398 votes
N8 Sungai Burong - Pas lost by 3,013 votes
N9 Permatang - PKR lost by 1,026 votes
N10 Bukit Melawati - PKR lost by 806 votes
N11 Ijok - PKR won by 739 votes
N12 Jeram - Pas lost by 2,834 votes
N13 Kuang - PKR lost by 1,255 votes
N14 Rawang - PKR won by 9,241 votes
N15 Taman Templer - Pas won by 7,467 votes
N16 Batu Caves - PKR won by 3,261 votes
N17 Gombak Setia - Pas won by 1,681 votes
N18 Hulu Kelang - Pas won by 2,881 votes
N19 Bukit Antarabangsa - PKR won by 4,044 votes
N20 Lembah Jaya - Pas won by 8,713 votes
N21 Chempaka - Pas won by 9,608 votes
N23 Dusun Tua - Pas won by 4,071 votes
N24 Semenyeh - PKR lost by 4,145 votes
N25 Kajang - PKR won by 6,824 votes
N26 Bangi - Pas won by 11,838 votes
N29 Seri Serdang - Pas won by 16,251 votes
N32 Seri Setia - PKR won by 4,663 votes
N33 Taman Medan - PKR won by 3,731 votes
N37 Bukit Lanjan - PKR won by 17,200 votes
N38 Paya Jaras - Pas won by 5,522 votes
N39 Kota Damansara - PKR lost by 1,527 votes
N40 Kota Anggerik - PKR won by 5,000 votes
N41 Batu Tiga - PKR won by 3,805 votes
N42 Meru - Pas won by 9,079 votes
N43 Sementa - Pas won by 7,846 votes
N45 Selat Klang - Pas won by 2,754 votes
N46 Pelabuhan Klang - PKR won by 2,994 votes
N49 Seri Andalas - PKR won by 15,633 votes
N50 Sri Muda - PKR won by 12,510 votes
N51 Sijangkang - Pas won by 2,942 votes
N53 Morib - Pas won by 766 votes
N54 Tanjong Sepat - Pas won by 682 votes
N55 Dengkil - PKR lost by 2,317 votes
That's 21 seats BN may win, just enough to deny Pakatan a two third majority in Selangor, I think.
And the one most under threat will be Pas, which stand to lose up to seven out of their current 15 seats. However, since they don't seem to mind being the junior partner in Pakatan and live under the DAP's armpit, I guess it would be fine by them.
DAP will be confirmed as the biggest taikor of Pakatan by retaining all their 15 Chinese-majority areas, as PKR may lose another three of their seats.
By the way, the 21 seats possibly to be won by BN will all be Umno's, making the Malay nationalist party individually having the most seats.
I am giving BN a reasonable chance of capturing the constituencies where they were beaten by not more than 3,000 votes in GE13.
I think that's not too outlandish considering that BN won the recent Teluk Intan by-election despite the constituency being won by DAP, the king of Pakatan, by more than 7.000 votes majority in the last general election.