Wednesday, 21 April 2021

Perikatan will not collapse if Umno pulls out now

 I saw a story yesterday which said that the Umno supreme council will decide on Sunday whether to stay or leave the Perikatan government.

The story quoted sources, so it's not really that credible.

Sources stories tend to be sos chili or sos tomatoes stories only.

Still, this could be fun to discuss.

Well, as I previously wrote, I think Umno and its BN allies should stay in the government until the parliament has been properly dissolved.

We need a functioning government amidst this Covid-19 pandemic and I'm of the opinion that the better ministers now are those from Umno and BN.

Okay, they are not great but still better than those from Pribumi Bersatu and the others.

Also bear in mind that the state of Emergency is still on.

That means the Perikatan government will not collapse even if Umno and its BN allies order their ministers to resign and announce themselves as opposition parties.

Muhyiddin will simply appoint new ministers to replace them.

Doesn't matter if the new ministers are as useless as those already in the Cabinet.

This will be the case until August when the Emergency was supposed to end.

But will it ends?

The Covid-19 numbers are still bad, okay.

They may just prolong it further, and I have a feeling that they will only lift the Emergency when they are sure they can stay in power.

Let's say it stretches to early or middle of next year. That's a long time and anything could happen.

Well, we already have Pakatan people, who were supposed to be men of integrity jumping over to Perikatan.

Give some more time and more may jump, I think.

So, Umno pulling out of the government now would be a bit of a silly move.

At least if their ministers are still there, they could do something for the rakyat and provide some checks on what the government is doing.

Surely, not all of the Umno ministers are Pribumi Bersatu stooges.

Okay, if Umno really wants to show that it's serious about telling off Pribumi Bersatu, it could just order those in the GLCs to resign.

As I previously wrote, that will not hurt the rakyat.

After all, those are mostly the useless fat cats who make Umno looked bad anyway.

Then there's the matter of Umno elections.

Despite my dislike of many Umno top people now, I'm of the opinion that they should postpone it until after GE15.

If they have it now, Umno will be weakened by the ensuing infighting of which it would not have enough time to recover to face an election.

My hope is that for Umno leaders, particularly its president Zahid to play this one wisely.

As I had said, he can stay on as president but let Mat Hasan takes charge.

Let Umno have a fresh face to present to all Malaysians.

I dare to hope like this because Zahid and Mat Hasan seemed to be going well together of late.

They seemed to have a united front by making the same stand, such as during the recent party general assembly.

Maybe Zahid has realised that the relatively credible Mat Hasan is actually his best hope to survive the fight.

It most probably that he had seen it that for him to survive, Umno needs to win GE15.

And in order for that to happen, he needs Mat Hasan to be there for Umno and him.

I'm confident that Mat Hasan would be there and deliver if given the chance to do it.

Zahid should start by making Mat Hasan, as a party deputy president should, the director of Umno/BN election machinery again.

He should correct the awful mistake of giving that job to the boorish Tajuddin Rahman, whose image alone makes Umno look like a Malay gangster party.

If Zahid does that, it would give Umno people the semangat that they needed.

After all, they need to regain the momentum that brought Umno the string of by-election victories before the Pakatan's collapse.

Yup, I don't mind repeating it, Mat Hasan is the key for Zahid and the rest of Umno.

And probably for the rest of Malaysians too.

Monday, 19 April 2021

iChang and Jimmy - appreciating Malaysia

 I'm a bit tired of writing about politics or the other depressing issues for now.

They are all making me feel as if Malaysia is dying and that there is no hope for it anymore.

Really. Before GE14, PH said the country is going down the drain if Malaysians don't give them a chance to rule, but after Malaysians kicked out BN and gave them the chance to rule, they just make things even worse.

And now with Covid-19 and PN doing don't know what, it's really seems we are going down the longkang faster than before GE14.

But, does it has to be that way?

Do we always have to complain from start to finish?

Hey, those politicians have been complaining way before GE14 and after all the shit that happened, they are still complaining.

I seriously think we don't need to listen to them, or even worse, become complaining bitches like them.

At least not all the time, okay. 

So, for this posting, I want to write about something positive.

Okay, do you realise that the people who complained the most about Malaysia are Malaysians.

We bitched against our own country on about everything.

We don't seemed to realise how lucky we are for being Malaysians.

And that brings me to my favourite YouTubers - the young husband and wife couple of iChang and Jimmy.

I believe that many of you may already know them, especially iChang, but this is my take on them.

They are Japanese living in Hong Kong.  That's because Jimmy is a former cabin crew of Cathay Pacific, currently laid off due to Covid-19.

They are very much in love with Malaysia and even fly a Jalur Gemilang flag in their small Hong Kong home.

And they are such a fun couple. iChang is really cute funny while Jimmy is super crazy funny.


I just love the way they expressed their love for Malaysia in their videos.

Especially their attempts to cook Malaysian dishes and expression of happiness when they ate what they cooked.

Despite not being professional cooks, they went to great length to cook the most difficult of authentic Malaysian cuisine and I really believe them when they said what they cooked was "SEDAP!!!"


Yup, they are even learning to speak Bahasa Malaysia. And they are soooo funnnyyyy while doing so.

This Japanese husband and wife team suffered withdrawal symptoms for not being able to come to Malaysia due to Covid-19. Really.


You all can watch their love affair with Malaysia at iChang's YouTube channel at,

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCtbpZEdyGM6xfOaX_rv-H_A/videos

Watching them actually makes me appreciate Malaysia more.

Maybe, we are too used to what we have that we find it hard to appreciate them.

I know, some of you all would say that they were only here as tourists and they don't live the life of Malaysians, but still, the fact that they could see the beauty of our country and appreciate what we took for granted should mean our country is not too bad at all.

I hope things will soon get better for this couple and Jimmy will get back his job when Covid-19 is over.

I would love for them to come to Malaysia again and continue making good videos about our country.

Also, hopefully we have not messed up this country too much with our politics and complaints when they come here again.

I don't think they would want to cook a delicious dish from a messed up country.

Really.

Anyway, I'm actually a new fan of iChang, as I discovered her channel only recently.

I have however been following Jimmy's channel, which was about darts for much longer.


I enjoy his videos about darts because I play darts, obviously.

And I think his was among the best YouTube channesl about darts, despite it being mostly in Japanese.

You can go to Jimmy's channel at this link,

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC_6ncal_lvXbTPiomKAT3ZA

He actually hung out and played with current top dart players like Micheal Van Gerwen and legendary ones such as John Lowe.


Okay. that's all for this time.

Cheers.

(Note: If you want to watch the videos that I choose from channels of iChang  and Jimmy for this post, please go to the web version of this blog. Somehow, YouTube videos can't appear in the mobile version)

Friday, 16 April 2021

About Chinese boss and Malay bodyguards

I guess you all have heard about the case of the two Malay bodyguards who were assaulted by their Chinese boss because they were fasting.

Some people had immediately jumped to use the case as a weapon to attack the Chinese community.

I have to say that's very wrong of them to do that.

As far as I'm concerned, that's an isolated case of a crazy guy, who was probably high on something and not more than that.

I really hope that Chinese, especially those with Malay bodyguards are not going be targeted after this because of the case.

Just let the police handle it, okay.

Anyway, I do happened to have a Chinese friend who has several bodyguards whom he treated very well.

I have met him with up to seven bodyguards, all are whom either Malays or Bumiputera from Sabah and Sarawak.

Those that I talked to said they were treated very well by their boss, and some even said the Chinese guy was a bit like their big brother.

There was one Malay guy from Kedah who told me that he was very grateful to his boss for employing him, and giving him a good enough salary for his family to live relatively well back in his kampung.

Ya, my friend is quite generous.

His bodyguards are all well trained and equipped with firearms for their job  as well as having the opportunity for career advancements.

Really not bad at all.

So, that's why I strongly don't approve of those who used that particular case to further their racial agenda.

By the way, I'm not feeling very well of late and that's why I have not been updating this blog for the past few days.

Then there was something very sad that happened the other day and I'm still trying to get over it.

Later, when I'm feeling better, I will update this blog properly again.

Ciao. 

Saturday, 10 April 2021

Pas may still choose Umno over Pribumi Bersatu

I have begun to suspect that Pas is not whole heartedly into siding with Pribumi Bersatu against Umno.

Here are excerpts of a Facebook posting by Pas' raising star Nik Abduh, the son of the late Tuan Guru Nik Aziz,

Adapun mengintip menggunakan jentera kerajaan demi kepentingan peribadi atau kepentingan parti masing-masing demi laba persaingan politik, maka ia adalah salah guna kuasa yang terlarang oleh ugama.

Setiap mukmin terikat dengan syarat dan janji dalam segala urusan muamalahnya sesama mereka. Pemerintahan adalah amanah. Menyalah gunakan jentera kerajaan demi membunuh parti dan saingan politik lain adalah khianat, salah dan dosa. 

Ia juga membantutkan usaha memulihkan demokrasi dan integriti yang sedang dituntut oleh seluruh rakyat.

Saya tidak tahu, jika benarlah intipan audio perbualan Zahid-Anwar itu, siapakah dalang intipan tersebut. Jika dia individu, dia menanggung dosa. 

Jika ia daripada jentera kerajaan, ia adalah amat salah. Bukan itu tujuan kekuatan intipan negara. Ia tidak bertujuan sewenang-wenangnya demi kepentingan individu dan parti.

Saya harap ia bukan daripada pihak kerajaan. Jika sebaliknya, saya berdoa dan berharap ia bukan daripada komplot PAS. PAS terhalang oleh hukum agama yang diimaninya daripada menggunakan perkara haram demi sampai pada matlamat perjuangan sucinya.

Well, that's quite different from the stand took by Pas' president Hadi and his supporters in the party on the matter.

I tend to like Nik Abduh for the guy has so far displayed a lack of ability to bullshit despite being a politician.

He's sort of says things as there are and appears to be quite an idealist.

If I'm not mistaken he was also the one who led young Pas leaders to kick out the pro-DAP gang who are now in Amanah.

So, there is still a possibility that Pas may turns around and choose Muafakat Nasional rather than Perikatan.

I was told that some of the older Pas leaders are also in favour of going into GE15 with Umno rather than Pribumi Bersatu.

Two of the top ones are Pas spiritual leader Hashim Jasin and deputy president Tuan Ibrahim. Both, I was told, have been quite close with Umno deputy president Mat Hasan since their party started really working together.

Whatever it is, Pas has yet to officially severe ties with Umno.

Maybe the more sensible Pas leaders like Nik Abduh have realised the danger of working with Pribumi Bersatu as its current leaders had proven themselves very capable of stabbing their partners in the back as what happened to Pakatan Harapan.

Umno, if led by someone good like Mat Hasan, probably pose a lesser risk to work with.

For this one, I recommend you all to read my previous post,

Pas' three routes

Thursday, 8 April 2021

Zahid should learn from the Shahrizat experience....and Najib

 Do you all still remember the cow in condo scandal involving former Wanita Umno chief Shahrizat?

Go to this link if you can't remember - https://ms.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kontroversi_Pusat_Fidlot_Nasional

Well, that scandal exploded in 2011. Shahrizat's family got a huge government contract to set up a multi million ringgit cow farm and screwed it up.

But let's go back a few years earlier, to 2008 when Shahrizat, who was then the Wanita Umno deputy chief  lost to Nurul Izzah in Lembah Pantai in the general election that year.

Despite that defeat, she challenged her boss Rafidah for the number one seat of the party wing the next year and the Umno Wanita delegates, who were probably disoriented by the BN's poor performance in the general election decided to give her that post.

Ya, that was stupid.

Najib, who just took over the PM job from Pak Lah also got stupid and made Shahrizat a minister.

Then came the NFC scandal which made Umno looked like cow shit/dung among the public.

Shahrizat pleaded that she was innocent and insisted on continuing as Wanita Umno chief despite clear indications that the party would suffer from that scandal.

Wanita Umno people unfortunately continued to support her.

By the time it was the 2013 general election, it was clear that public anger over the NFC scandal was so bad that Shahrizat can't even find a safe place to contest.

BN did even worse in that election than in 2008 and I believe they lost several hundred thousands of votes just because of the NFC scandal alone.

Unfortunately Umno, once again still refused to learn from that.

Najib and his people insisted for the party to maintain its leadership status quo in the party election in late 2013.

Thanks to that, Shahrizat retained her post as Wanita chief and trumpeted her win in the party polls as an indicator that she was still popular and not guilty of any wrong doing.

Then came the 2018 general election and once again she can't find a safe place to contest yet still insisted that she could lead Wanita Umno to help BN win at the polls.

Stupid isn't it? Someone who can't even find a place to contest leading the Wanita Umno's charge into a general election.

Well, we all know now what happened to BN in that election.

Only when BN was already in the longkang that Shahrizat resigned her Wanita Umno chief post.

Too much too late, if you ask me.

It was a classic case of a leader who was willing to drag the party down by using it for self interest.

Selfish woman - that's how I will always remember Shahrizat.

Umno leaders and members now really need to learn from that. Stop being stupid by thinking that the world revolves around your wishes as elections were not won by just your votes. It's the people votes as a whole which win elections.

I wrote this before - a leader needs to step down/ aside once he/she can't handle a personal problem to the point of it affecting the party.

Now we have Umno president Zahid being attacked on all fronts.

Why? That's because he is a weak point in Umno's effort to revive itself due to his corruption cases and not so great leadership of the party.

His position may not be as bad as Shahrizat's back then but it's bad enough for the party.

The pro-Pribumi Bersatu faction in Umno are now calling for the party election to be held as scheduled later this year and it was quite obvious what they intend to do with it.

Umno will look like shit again if it doesn't hold the party election but if it does, the party will be split going into GE15.

Both ways look bad.

And this choice is ultimately for Zahid to decide.

Unlike Shahrizat, he now still have the time to avoid being always remembered as a selfish person who drag Umno down due to his own personal issues.

I have made the suggestion on what he should do in this previous post about

Umno's PM candidate

Yup, he should name his deputy Mat Hasan as the party's PM candidate.

Let Umno people rally around Mat Hasan who was responsible for the party's revival when he led them to a string of by-election victories before the collapse of the Pakatan Harapan government.

He should also let Mat Hasan handles the coordination of Umno/BN campaign for GE15 as according to his sound judgement.

I'm quite sure the public's perception of Umno will dramatically shift for the better if Zahid does that. 

I don't even mind Zahid continuing as Umno president until the next party polls, which could be held after GE15.

That way Umno could be more focused and not be divided as they enter the electoral battlefield.

If Zahid does all this, he will be remembered as a selfless leader who sacrificed his position to save Umno.

I'm also quite sure Mat Hasan will be there for him when BN is once again in power.

I know, Zahid's "advisers" would definitely insist for him to "soldier on" as what Shahrizat did, but Zahid needs to remember that those people only wanted him to continue being where he is now due to their own selfish interests.

It's the same thing that happened to Najib whose judgement prior to GE14 was clouded by his advisers.

And now that Najib is in deep shit, where are those advisers?

Hopefully Zahid will learn from all those things that happened - from Shahrizat to Najib.

If he doesn't, then that's it - checkmate.

Oh, by the way, I think Zahid's enemies need to do a better job than that audio recording of what supposed to be his conversation with Anwar.

It was even less convincing than the Anwar's and Azmin's videos.

You see, these days the available technology enables people to manipulate stuff and anyone could be depicted as anything.

I made this one myself by just using an app installed in my phone;

Tuesday, 6 April 2021

Umno will not die of loneliness

The DAP Youth chief the other day said he got info that MCA and MIC will both defect from BN to Perikatan.

He also predicted that would be the end of Umno, which is DAP's long cherished dream.

Yeah right, Umno will die without MCA and MIC. Fine.

Okay lah, let's say Pas also joins Perikatan.

That means Umno will be going all alone into GE15.

But do you know that Peninsular Malays made up the majority in 128 of the 222 parliamentary constituencies in this country.

That's more than half.

Chinese on the other hand are the majority in 37 constituencies.

Indians have none.

Sarawak have 31 constituencies with the Malays there being the majority in 10 of them, the same as the Ibans while the Chinese have six, Orang Ulu have two and Bidayuh have three.

Sabah have 25 constituencies with Chinese being the majority in three of them while  non-Muslims Bumiputera in nine and Muslims in 13.

Do you all also know that if just 11 per cent of Malay votes that swung against Umno in 2018 go back to them, the situation will revert back to pre-GE14?

Well, the last series of by-elections won by BN indicated such a swing back.

Malays were angry with the then Pakatan government.

Why? They said it's because Umno played racial politics.

But isn't that the same that they accused Umno of doing before they won GE14?

So, what's the difference? I leave you all to ponder on that, okay.

Oh by the way, look back at how DAP conducted themselves to galvanise the Chinese to rally around it during GE13 while you all are at it. The Chinese tsunami, remember? The effect is still here today.

Okay, back to that 128 constituencies with Peninsular Malays majority, how many are really out right so?

If I'm not mistaken, 101 of them have above 60 per cent Malay majority.

These are where the big fight between Umno and Perikatan will be. Pakatan may field their own Malay candidates there but they have no chance of winning.

Let's say Pas really decides to join Perikatan and Umno is all alone, would their votes really be split 50-50?

Personally, I don't think so.

I don't believe Umno will be so stupid as to repeat their mistakes in 2018. Okay, some of their leaders are indeed stupid and selfish, but the majority are not.

As I wrote previously, if the Umno leadership make the right moves and show themselves as ready to change for the better, they will get most of the Malay votes.

I don't think the overwhelming majority of Malays want to do anything that will bring back the Pakatan government after what they went through those 22 months.

I believe most of them don't want their votes to be split again which would allow that to happen.

Bear also in mind that there will be more Umno versus Pribumi Bersatu fights than Umno versus Pas fights.

And Umno will only face real challenges from Pas in Kedah, Terengganu and Kelantan.

I believe Umno will prevail in Kedah and Terengganu.

In the other outright Malay majority constituencies elsewhere, Umno will steamroll over Pribumi Bersatu and others.

Do note that Pribumi Bersatu and Pas have snowball chance in hell to win in constituencies other than these. I think the same goes with the Perikatan mosquitoes parties.

How about MCA and MIC if they join Perikatan?

What kind of "winnable" constituencies will they be given in this era of Chinese and Indian perpaduan ummah under DAP?

Will Pas machinery (Pribumi Bersatu doesn't really have one) be campaigning like crazy for them the way Umno people did?

Think about that ya MCA and MIC people.

Oh, and I think Umno will continue using the BN logo even if MCA and MIC don't want to be with it anymore.

Umno could also get independent non-Malay candidates to contest selected seats under the BN banner. 

Remember ya, that Orang Asli BN candidate who won the Cameron Highlands by-election was not an Umno member.

Also, other non-Malay-based parties may join BN as there will be no objection against them from MCA and MIC..

Really, I don't think Umno will die of loneliness as predicted by the DAP Youth chief.

MCA and MIC will also not die alone.

If they defect to Perikatan, they will die with Pribumi Bersatu. So definitely not dying alone.

Sunday, 4 April 2021

MIC's silly threat

 Let's not beat around the bush on this silly one, okay.

When MIC president Vigneswaran yesterday said his party will "wait and see" on the Umno-Pribumi Bersatu fight, it was actually a threat to Umno.

"Give us what we want or we will leave and join Pribumi Bersatu gang," was basically what the MIC president was saying.

The guy went on to praise PM Muhyiddin for appointing his deputy Saravanan as human resources minister even without BN's recommendation.

"See, Muhyiddin gave us what Umno had not even bothered to offer," was the real message behind that.

But I can understand why MIC is threatening Umno now.

"Hey, Umno is under pressure because it does not want to be bullied by Pribumi Bersatu anymore, this is the time to squeeze it to get what we want," must be MIC's thought.

And Vigneswaran said MIC wants its "traditional" and "winnable" seats.

So privileged.

Well,  Vignes, you want to once again contest Kota Raja, is it?

It's by right a winnable place for an MIC candidate - 43.15 per cent Malays, 27.68 per cent Indians, 27.66 per cent Chinese and 1.51 per cent others.

Yet, Vignes lost that one as an incumbent to a Pas woman in 2008 by a majority of over 20,000. The other MIC candidates there were crushed even worse in 2013 and 2018. 

Where else? Sungai Siput?

That one is 36.28 per cent Chinese, 34.28 per cent Malays, 20.98 per cent Indians, 8.55 per cent Others.

Former MIC president Samy Vellu was a long time MP there until he lost it to a PKR's Indian candidate in 2008 by almost 2,000 majority. MIC candidates there continue to lose by even bigger majorities in 2013 and 2018.

Looking at the trend in such constituencies, MIC can't solely blame Umno for the losses. It must also be something wrong with itself that not even the majority of Indians want to vote for it.

I even believe that there are more Malays who are willing to vote for MIC candidates than Indians.

So, where are these MIC's "traditional" "winnable" constituencies?

Overwhelmingly Malay majority constituencies?

I seriously think MIC should just concentrate on doing work to win back Indians' support for itself rather than issuing threats to Umno like yesterday.

As far as I'm concerned, Umno had proven itself to be loyal to its allies and giving them seats where they themselves could have won on their own.

Look at the most recent one- Tanjong Piai by-election.

It's a clearly Malay constituency, and Pakatan fielded a Malay from Pribumi Bersatu at that time, yet Umno agreed that MCA was to contest there because it was a traditionally an MCA seat.

They did the calculation and found that BN could still win it with an MCA candidate and they gave it to them.

As for Cameron Highland, they did the calculations and decided that it's better to put an Orang Asli candidate instead of one from MIC and it worked out wonderfully.

If the calculations had said it's better to place an MIC guy there, I believe they would have done so.

It was not because of anything else.

MIC needs to have some faith in its ally.

Yes, there were some noises from within Umno that wanted to take over all the seats but those were only noises.

The Umno leadership had proven that they were capable of making the right choices as far as the party's allies were concerned as in the Tanjong Piai by-election.

Really, MIC was really being silly for making that threat yesterday.

I think MCA would agree on that. 

They did issue the same threat to Umno as what MIC did yesterday after BN lost GE14 but now they know that was not the right thing to do.

Umno people accepted the decision to field Wee Jeck Seng and worked hard to ensure he wins in Tanjong Piai. In fact I think Umno election workers worked harder than MCA people in that by-election.

I remember a video showing a Wanita Umno member standing in heavy rain by the roadside holding a placard begging for Tanjong Piai folks to vote for the MCA candidate.

MIC should listen to MCA president Wee Ka Siong on this one.

But if MIC still insists on being gangsta, then so be it.

Who are they to talk about the need for Umno to accept Pribumi Bersatu as an ally in a coalition when they themselves for decades objected against any other Indian-based party to join BN.

As far as I'm concerned, they can go join Pribumi Bersatu if that's what they think is best for them.

I believe Umno and MCA could find a different Indian-based party to represent the community in BN.

Saturday, 3 April 2021

Pas' three routes

 This is how I see it,

Route One: Pas to get either Umno to join Perikatan or Pribumi Bersatu to join Muafakat.

This is the best option for Pas and it is working on it.

It is the best for Pas because the party will be the real winner when Umno needs to make concessions to accommodate Pribumi Bersatu in a coalition.

Umno will be weaker and Pas in the long run will emerge as the dominant Malay party.

You see, Pas doesn't have to make such concessions.

Pribumi Bersatu, being a fresh Umno's splinter party will not ask to be given seats in Pas areas. They would want those of Umno's.

Well, Pas won't even give them anyway even if they ask. "What is mine is mine, what is Umno's is yours," Pas would tell Pribumi Bersatu.

Pas' machinery doesn't even have to work for Pribumi Bersatu which doesn't even have real grassroots.

Umno will have to do that.

Imagine, how humiliating it is for Umno people having to campaign for Pribumi Bersatu candidates who whacked them like crazy before GE14, after GE14 and even now,

You all should know what they called Umno people.

Worst is for Umno people whose MP or Adun defected to Pribumi Bersatu when their party was in the longkang after GE14.

They now have to campaign again for those people who betrayed them.

If they are forced to do it, I think these Umno people will in the end quit the party.

They may even join Pas.

So, Umno will be weaker and Pas will be stronger.

 In the end Pas can take over the whole Malay Muslims perpaduan ummah thingy.

Yup, that's the best for them alright. 

If Pas is successful to achieve this it will indeed be 100 per cent the winner. It will ride the coming Malay Muslim tsunami, be part of the new government, and in the end be the dominant party in an all powerful Malay Muslim coalition.

The chances of it managing this is however, in my opinion is only about 20 per cent, at best.

Umno number one and two leaders seemed very determined for their party not to give anymore face to Pribumi Bersatu and the majority of Umno people seemed to support them. 

 Route Two: Pas to break ties with Umno and joins Pribumi Bersatu in Perikatan

This route is seen by many to be where Pas is going at the moment because of noises made by party leaders like Takiyuddin and to a certain extent Hadi.

It is however the worst of Pas options.

With that coalition, they will not stand a chance of winning anything in most parts of the country except for maybe in their strongholds in Kelantan, Terengganu and Kedah.

In fact, they will even have to face a resurgent Umno in those strongholds.

If Umno could do something fresh like putting Mat Hasan as its PM candidate as I suggested, Pas may even lose those strongholds.

The Malays actually do like fresh good leaders. 

Do take note that BN almost defeated Pas in Kelantan in GE11 in 2004 because Pak Lah was at that time seen as fresh and good compared to Dr Mahathir who stepped down the previous year.

Pas will also be over stretched if it has to take the burden of supporting Pribumi Bersatu which actually doesn't have any real machinery or grassroots support.

And in return, the chances of Pribumi Bersatu taking the fight to Umno and its BN allies would be about the same as Mat Sabu winning the most handsome Malaysian man award.

The most they could do is to take some (which I believe not many) votes off Umno/BN for the benefits of Pakatan.

Yes, this is Pas' option that Pakatan certainly like the most because it potentially could divide the Malay vote bank again like in GE14.

However, things are different now. No more tears of sympathy for Dr Mahathir as it was in GE14 which was what really devastated Umno/BN.

No more Umno members and supporters voting for Pas because they were angry with the Umno leadership but couldn't make themselves to vote Pakatan.

Umno, if it do the right things, could this time just steamroll over Pas, Pribumi Bersatu and their mosquitoes allies.

If DAP can create a Chinese tsunami, I think Umno could also create a Malay tsunami on its own.

Again, as I said, that provided if Umno makes the right moves. If it still want to be stupid like before GE14, then they will end up in the longkang again.

Still, I believe Pas leaders could see these likely scenarios and will try to avoid going into GE15 along this second route.

Yes, they are now making all kind of noises to dummy Umno into believing that they are willing to pull out of Muafakat in favour of Perikatan but the chances of that happening is I think just between 20 and 30 per cent. 

The chances of Pas being successful as a member of Perikatan is of course zero per cent. 

Route Three: Pas (after making all kind of noises) remains an ally of Umno in Muafakat and quits Perikatan

This is Pas' back up option to Route One.

If it can't convince Umno to give face to Pribumi Bersatu, this would be the better route for them.

They could safeguard their strongholds in the Malay states and may even have a chance of getting some seats elsewhere as Umno and its BN allies concentrate on battling Pakatan and crushing Pribumi Bersatu in areas Pas has no chance of winning.

If victorious, they will get to be part of the new government and push further some of their supposedly Islamic agenda. 

It's definitely better than sinking with Pribumi Bersatu if they choose Route Two.

The only drawback for Pas to go along this Route Three is that they will not get to take over from Umno being the dominant Malay party.

Pas is still 80 per cent a winner if it chooses this route.

At the moment, the chances of them doing so, I think,  is between 70 and 80 per cent.

Well, Umno may just get tired of their current noises and tells them to go fly kite with Pribumi Bersatu.

Thursday, 1 April 2021

Umno's PM candidate

 I had a WhatsApp conversation early last month with a friend who is based in Tokyo.

He was asking me about the possibility of Umno really cutting ties with Pribumi Bersatu, which at that time was becoming a hot topic.

My friend is a senior analyst of a major Japanese corporation.

I believe that he needs to know about such stuff to advise his bosses about the investment risks in Malaysia.

After all, an Umno-Pribumi Bersatu split could cause the collapse of the Perikatan government, leading to more instability and higher investment risks.

I have always told him over the years that I'm not the best source for such intel but he somehow kinda like my take on the country's political happenings...or maybe it's just because I'm cute...hahaha.

Anyway, I just gave him my opinion which somehow is almost exactly what is happening now. Really.

- Umno grassroots really pissed off with Pribumi Bersatu for lording over them.

-  Umno leadership have to follow suit whether they like it or not.

- Umno will indeed cut ties with Pribumi Bersatu but not in a hurry to push for GE15 due to Covid-19 and the need to clean its house first.

- The Perikatan government is not going to immediately collapse, so no need to worry about the country suffering from more immediate instability.

My friend then asked, if Umno/BN go on their own into GE15, then would Zahid be their PM candidate.

I told him that they couldn't be that stupid.

Zahid is after all not really popular among the general Malaysian public.

He may hold on to his Umno president and BN chairman posts but he certainly can't be their PM candidate.

That would be disastrous for them and even Zahid should know that. 

So, in the end, this is the last bit of my WhatsApp conversation with my Japanese friend,

Yup, I suggested Mat Hasan as BN's PM candidate and my friend agreed.

My friend have been observing Malaysian politics for years, so I believe he knew why I recommended Mat Hasan.

The guy is actually the only Umno top leader that I currently like.

I'm not a big fan of Zahid and I don't like any of the vice-presidents, especially Khaled Nordin, as most long time readers of this blog already knew.

I don't know much about Mat Hasan though and only started to notice him after he led Umno/BN to a string of by-election victories that kick started the Umno's revival after their GE14 defeat.

His leadership was like a breath of fresh air for Umno when he took over the party leadership for a while from Zahid. 

I met Mat Hasan in person only once just before the Rantau by-election campaign and found him to be a bit of a gruff.

But still I like him for what he did to turn the tide for Umno.

Maybe it was just his no nonsense personality. Or maybe he was having a bad mood that day.

Doesn't matter to me.

For me, he lends the credibility to Umno's claim of wanting to be better than it was before GE14.

I really hope Umno will pick him as their PM candidate.

Hopefully Zahid has the wisdom to think the same to make way for Mat Hasan to play that role.

I believe that Umno/BN's chances in GE15 will be greatly diminished if they put someone else as PM candidate.

Really, Umno needs to have a new face to convince not just Malays but also the rest of Malaysians that it could offer a better leadership for the country.



Wednesday, 31 March 2021

Umno's three routes

 This is how I see it,

First Route - Umno and its BN allies going on their own in GE15.

They may just be able to form a government provided they could defeat PAS in the Malay states of Kelantan, Terengganu and Kedah.

The other two Malay states of Pahang and Perlis should already be in their bag.

This means they need to convince the Malays to give it an all out support.

They may very well form a government with support from the Sarawakian parties, as in the past.

I believe PH will retain most of their urban seats as the non-Malays will likely to continue their support for them.

PN will either be wiped out or manage to break the Malay vote bank and allow PH to win as it was in 2018. 

Pribumi Bersatu is nonetheless almost certain to lose all of its seats to Umno. 

The chances of Umno's success in this scenario is between 60 and 70 per cent. 

If Umno is successful, we will be back to how it was pre-GE14 when the country was govern by a moderate multi-racial coalition.

Second Route - Umno and its BN allies combined with PAS in GE15

They are going to win almost all of the Malay votes and wipe out Pribumi Bersatu and its mosquito parties allies.

The Sarawakian parties will join them to form a government which is likely to have a two third majority in parliament.

PH will still retain their urban seats courtesy of non-Malay votes but will not be able to stop the formation of a strong Malay-Muslim-Bumiputera government.

For this one, the ball is with PAS. 

If they choose to join Umno and its gang, they will be part of the new government but if they decide to be with Pribumi Bersatu, they will sink with it. 

They will sink even if Umno and gang lose because of the split Malay votes and PH will not be nice at all with them once it is in power again.

The chances of Umno's success in this scenario is almost 100 per cent and the probability of them getting the two third majority government is about 70 per cent.

If Umno is successful with this one, then we will see even more pro-Malay/Islam/Bumiputera government policies. Umno's non-Malay allies, MCA and MIC will have a hard time trying to take care of their communities' interests.

And if the new government got that two third majority, we could almost certainly expect some constitutional amendments.

Oh, and they would also likely do a re-delineation of the electoral boundaries which ensure they will never lose for a very very long time.

Third Route - Umno and its BN allies going on their own in GE15 and get a new partner after that.

This one will depend on how many seats Umno and its BN allies will get.

If they win a lot, they will choose to approach PAS to get enough seats to form a government and we would get the scenario in Route Two.

If they win not so many, they may likely approach PKR to form a government.

I don't think they will ask DAP to join the club as PKR should have enough of the needed seats.

They are also not likely to approach Amanah as I think that party, along with Pribumi Bersatu will be wiped out in GE15.

Would PKR consider joining Umno and its allies to form a government?

This is what I think Anwar would say, "Saya sudah memikirkan semasak-masaknya dan mengambil keputusan bahawa PKR perlu mengambil jalan yang terbaik dan menjadi sebahagian dari kerajaan demi kepentingan rakyat."

Of course he would add some fancy Malay and Arabic words to it, as usual.

This is actually quite a good deal for Umno as it will be able to lead a government with a weak Opposition. 

PAS and DAP will be without credible allies and they can't work together due to past bad blood which caused the self-destruction of Pakatan Rakyat after GE13.

The chances of Umno's success in this scenario is about 95 per cent. 

The five per cent failure rate is if Anwar get stupid and grew some real conscience and stick with DAP. Well, in that case there are still PAS and individual MPs who may cross over "demi perpaduan ummah".

If Umno is successful with this scenario, we may either get the same stuff as the Second Route or something quite similar with First Route with PKR attached to it. 


Special message to non-Malay voters: 

Your best choice, I think is for Umno to go on the First Route. I suggest for you all to help support MCA and MIC which would defend your interests in a post-GE15 government, just like what they used to do before you all got united under DAP. Don't be angry ya, it's just my humble suggestion. You all can always choose to believe that DAP is your saviour and for that you will have Umno getting what it wants along Route Two or Three. I'm fine with that too. Ciao. 

Monday, 29 March 2021

Umno still needs improvements for solo ride

For once in quite a long while, it was worth observing the Umno general assembly over the weekend.

They finally made it official about really reviving BN for GE15.

No more ties with Pribumi Bersatu and even PAS if the Islamist party chooses to remain with Perikatan instead of Muafakat.

For me, it's the best move by Umno.

I always prefer Umno to fight alongside just its BN allies rather than forming what was supposed to be a domineering Malay Muslim coalition with Pribumi Bersatu and PAS.

It's going to be like what it used to be - BN, a workable moderate multi-racial coalition.

That's the model that worked for the country since Merdeka till GE14 in 2018.

It's better than an ultra-conservative Malay Muslim coalition or a coalition of parties with unrealistic and hypocritical objectives.

As we should learn by now, these alternatives led to chaos and instability. We have tried it, okay.

I know, I know....but Umno and BN were corrupt, got it.

I'm not blaming you all for changing the government in 2018.

Hey, we tried it, and I'm fine with it. The mess now is just the price we paid for the experiment. 

Anyway, that's democracy. We are free to choose and try things.

So, would the BN which will be contesting GE15 on its own be any better than it was in GE14?

Yes and no.

Yes, because it surely remember the lessons from GE14.

No, because at the moment, Umno is still weighted down by the same bunch which caused its GE14 defeat.

Well, that's a price to be paid too later.

Hopefully Umno will sort that one out before GE15.

Okay, now they had said it, I wish to see them actually doing it - cutting off ties with Perikatan led by Pribumi Bersatu.

For now, I think they should not quit the government until parliament has been dissolved.

This is so because we need a functioning government, especially amidst the Covid-19 pandemic.

Umno ministers and those of MCA and MIC should stay where they are and continue to do their job.

It's not for the Perikatan government but instead for the rakyat.

Ministers salaries are not that big anyway.

What I really want to see now is for Umno leaders appointed by the Perikatan government to head GLCs to resign with immediate effect.

They were given those highly paid positions just to support Perikatan.

Not really for the rakyat.

I'm quite sure the GLCs would continue working well without those political appointees.

Most of them are non-executive chairmen, whose actual job is just to chair board meetings in return of huge salaries and other fantastic perks.

Well, of course most of them instead meddle with the management and behave as if the GLCs belong to them.

Just look at the Prasarana mess. That boorish Tajuddin Rahman should resign now since he was one of the loudest in riding the Umno's bandwagon of separating from Perikatan .

Anyway, he's one of the guys, who make Umno still looks bad to a lot of people.

And then there's Khaled Nordin, who was equally loud in riding the Umno going solo wave.

I'm waiting for him to quit being the Boustead chairman since the first day he started to whack Perikatan in order to be seen as an Umno champion.

And he's an Umno vice president, for goodness sake.

Sigh....

There are quite a number of others like Tajuddin and Khaled in Umno leadership now.

As far as I'm concerned, they are only good at talking and not much else.

Well, if they stay put in their cushy posts, then I think Umno still have quite a bit more to go at removing the parasites in their midst as was vowed by them during the weekend.

Come on Umno, jangan cakap tak serupa bikin.

Monday, 22 March 2021

DAP's token Malays

 I have been following closely the ongoing DAP's state elections.

That's because the party, which is now the single biggest block in parliament with 44 seats was said to be mulling the possibility of forming an alliance or cooperation with arch enemy Umno in the next general election.

I wanted to know if such thing is possible.

Is DAP really changing for such a possibility?

Or is it, like Umno is being stubborn when it comes to change.

Hard to tell so far.

Guan Eng in his speech at the Penang DAP convention said there will be no such cooperation...but he added that the stand is until the central executive committee of the party decides otherwise.

That means, the possibility is still there.

Well, the Penang DAP election yesterday turned out as expected.

Guan Eng's gang, led by Chief Minister Chow won comfortably.

Guan Eng's sister also retained her post in the state party committee.

So, the family cartel continues.

I was also a bit disheartened because the only Malay, who was elected yesterday was Zairil Khir Johari.


I'm sorry to say that electing Zairil was actually a poor choice if the DAP delegates thought that would add some Malay flavour to their line up of leadership. 

Zairil's past conducts were not really very good examples for a Malay person. He doesn't even look like one.

Well, I don't want to go too much into that personal side of Zairil as you all can just google to find out what he was all about.
 
I'm not saying here that DAP is anti-Malay or anything like that but the outcome of yesterday's polls doesn't look very good with the multi-racial image that the party is trying to project.

It now looks more like a party for non-Malays more than anything else.

I know, I know, they said DAP is all about merit but surely there must be a good DAP Malay person who is really better than Zairil to be elected, right?

They can't all be bad, right?

Or are they all the same as Zairil?

Sigh.

Anyway, after the election, they appointed Syerleena Abdul Rashid, the Seri Delima assemblyman to sit in the Penang DAP committee.


She didn't even contest the election, probably knowing that she wouldn't make the cut anyway. At least that's my thought.

They made her the assistant publicity secretary.

I think that's a convenient post for a Malay in DAP as she probably could do more publicity to convince for more of her fellow Malays to join or support the party.

No real decision making power for her though.

By the way, Syerleena's Seri Delima constituents are made of 65.54 per cent Chinese, 22.31 per cent Malays, 11.39 per cent Indians, and less than one per cent of other races. 

Yup, it would be better if she had won in a real Malay majority or at least a marginal constituency.

Whatever it is, I think DAP still needs to do more in order to properly portray itself as a party for all, especially among the Malays.

Monday, 15 March 2021

Being careful of Covid-19 and the RM10k compound

 I went out just now because the boy I'm staying with at the moment asked for his favourite roti canai.

It was only the fourth or fifth time that I stepped out of the house since the start of my Covid-19 hideaway here in Kuantan about two months ago.

The other times I went out were either because the boy made a similar request or I need to get my supply of nicotine.

I didn't even go shopping because that was done by my friend, who is the boy's mother, whose place I'm staying in for now.

I will only be going back to KL when they lift the state border restriction.

Anyway, at the mamak just now, I scanned my registration at the entrance as usual and in addition to that I wrote the particulars of the boy on the book for those without the mySejahtera app.

I didn't do that previously because the boy is with autism. I assumed that it's okay as they could just contact trace the boy to me if anything happens. 

But since the new laws were put in place, I decided not to take any risk.

They may slapped the RM10,000 compound on the boy if I don't register him before entering the premises.

By the way, the boy is 18.

I don't think the boy's mother would appreciate it too much if she has to pay such a sum. She's not rich, okay.

I can't afford it either, actually. That RM10,000 could sustain me for at least five months.

Really. My normal living expenses were less than RM2,000 per month. That covers for my food, fuel, toll fees, parking etc.

If they slapped me with the RM10,000 compound, I think I would just go to jail rather than paying it.

I don't think it's nice to stay in jail but I believe I could manage it.

I'm not much of an outdoor person anyway.

Still, I'm being extra careful now.

I simply need to stay out of trouble during this dangerous time. It's dangerous because of not only Covid-19 but also the compounds.

And the best way to avoid the danger is to stay in the house as much as I could.

Since I can afford to do that for now, that's what I'm doing.

Anyway, why bother to go out when I could get almost anything delivered to where I am now.

I'm not too much into dining out, hanging out with other people, having fun at parties and gatherings etc ....unless I'm in the company of people that I really like.....and I don't really like too many people, actually.

As a friend once told me, I'm actually quite an anti-social person.

So, I'm okay as I am now.

Since, I'm now writing about being careful due to Covid-19, I think these people at their event yesterday are really not complying with the Covid-19 SOPs,


No social distancing at all.

The authorities should have gone to the event yesterday and slapped everyone with the RM10,000 compound.

Especially the loud ones there. So irritating.

They used to accuse BN of using phantom voters at elections but now they are accusing their own leaders of doing it. 

Hahahaha...stupid people.

Saturday, 13 March 2021

They turned into frogs because of their sins

 This morning

PKR MP Xavier defects to support Perikatan

Then in the afternoon

PKR accuses Perikatan of using agencies to coax defectors

excerpts;

Saifuddin said Xavier had recently met with the PKR leadership to inform them that MACC has detained his political secretary, personal assistant and several acquaintances.

“Xavier was then contacted by a senior minister, who told him that he has to support PN or face serious consequences,” read his statement.

Sigh.

If you got no dirt, why be scared of being threatened.

If they really go after you, then you just defend yourself in the court of law la....like Najib, Zahid etc etc.

See, even Guan Eng defends himself in court.

This just shows that all those talks by PKR leaders and the gang about fighting Umno's corruption are mostly political bullshit more than anything else.

They are themselves doing it when they were in power.

And that Xavier was among the loudest when it came to whacking Umno.

Now, after his people got arrested and millions seized the other day, he jumped.

Yup, otherwise what material do Perikatan have to threaten him and the others as alleged by Saifuddin.

They are now jumping all over the place when the heat is on, giving all sort of crap excuses like wanting to help the government fight Covid-19 etc.

Saifuddin also really shouldn't point his finger at the police, MACC and IRB people as those guys were just doing their jobs.

If they are given the evidence of corruption, of course they have to investigate the case.

What else could they do.

It doesn't matter to them whether the evidence being produced is part of a political agenda.

If it's legit, they have to take action.

It's the same way they handled the prosecution of Najib, Zahid and the other Umno leaders after Pakatan Harapan came to power after GE14.

It doesn't matter to them whether the charges were part of Pakatan's plan at that time to totally destroy Umno.

Well, now these people like Saifuddin are crying foul and accusing Perikatan Nasional of using the same tactic to force their MPs to jump ship.

I'm not saying it's alright for Muhyiddin's gang to do it, but for PKR and Pakatan people to bitch about it seems quite hypocritical.

Eh, you all did the same to Umno la, when you all were in power.

Well, there you have it. 

All of you who sacrificed your time and energy at street demonstrations back then should learn from this episode of comedy.

Don't be too obsessed with your side being right all the time and that your supposed leaders are saints.

Next time, don't be so easily conned, okay.

Friday, 12 March 2021

Jesus said Allah, not Deus

I don't think Muslims should be too upset with the recent High Court's decision allowing Christians to use the word "Allah" in reference to God.

In fact, all Christians, in my humble opinion, should from now on use the word "Allah" and worship Allah and nothing else but Allah.

Now that they are free to use it, all the churches should also use the word "Allah" to describe God.

It's the right thing to do, actually.

It's because, Jesus, as mentioned in the Bible, did just that.

Yes, Jesus or Isa as we Muslims call him, referred to God as Allah and not Deus or Jehovah or whatever.

Since Christians said they are followers of Jesus, it's only right that they do the same.

I'm not a religious expert, so let this mat saleh theology scholar explains this to you (you have to view this video on the web version of this blog, mobile can't),

And since we are at it, I also think that Christians should be encouraged to be more Jesus-like.

As Jesus (who is actually a Jew) was, Christians should worship Allah the way he did, be circumcised (males only), don't eat pork, etc etc.

Oh, and Jesus also didn't pray to himself.

He prayed to Allah.

Really, not a single straight forward verse in the Bible that quoted Jesus as claiming divinity.

There are a lot though in the good book which said he only prayed to Allah.

Again, let the mat saleh theology scholar explains it,



So, Muslims (and everyone else) shouldn't get upset over this whole thing.
Really.

Cheers.

Wednesday, 10 March 2021

About a Kluang guy's solar project

This is what I know (of course only what I actually can tell here) about this story,

Ceremony to kick-off mega Pengerang solar park cancelled

excerpts;

Sultan Ibrahim said he did not see why Putrajaya would not be willing to give Johor a chance to be an eco-friendly producer of electricity.

Well, this project is actually an initiative of a guy from my hometown Kluang.

He migrated a long time ago and became rich, but now, out of his love for Johor, has decided to give something back to it.

I have checked his story and it's quite genuine.

The Sultan actually has no real shares in the project except for the land to be used for it being leased by the Ruler to the Kluang guy. 

I was told that Sultan Ibrahim has been supportive of the initiative from the start, thus the name of the project.

The problem actually started when the proposal for the project was brought to Putrajaya for approval.

There, the Kluang guy was offered to do the project somewhere in Perak instead of Johor.

The Kluang guy refused the offer, saying that he initiated the project specifically for his home state and furthermore, the area chosen for it was most suitable for it.

He, nonetheless, offered to build a mosque or some other social welfare projects in the area in Perak.

That's when the project stalled. No federal approval for it.

I was reliably informed that PM Muhyiddin, who is a Johorean himself, will call for a meeting on the matter as soon as he gets back from Saudi Arabia.

Well, in case he's reading this, Muhyiddin should ask his people about the matter of RM4 million related to the approval of the project.

That should get some people's armpits sweating.

Sigh. These people really need to stop such nonsense.

I hope this project will proceed.

It's after all good for the environment. Particularly Johor's environment.

Oh, even though I like Pahang more these days, I still love my home state Johor.

Sunday, 7 March 2021

Can they just shut up and disappear?

 Saw this one just now and I was like "Yuck, this one still around and making noises?"

Cooperate for Malay politicssakeUmnoBersatu urged 

excerpts;

The Jelebu Bersatu chief said the two parties should not cut ties completely, and expressed hope that both will continue to work together.

This Rais Yatim is one of the most icky politicians as far as I'm concerned.

Been around for so long that I wonder why people are so easily conned by him.

Jumped here, jumped there, jumped everywhere.

He even thrived and became minister again during Najib's time until he fucked up big time and was sidelined. 


Then he turned against Najib.

Typical.

Well, that's Najib's fault for surrounding himself with people like Rais. He's a poor judge of character.

Anyway, what is this Rais talking about saving "Malay politics"?

So dumb.

No politics needs saving at this time. In fact, less politics would be better.

It's the rakyat that need saving. They need to be saved from unemployment, corrupt people in power etc etc.

It really irritates me seeing him invoking the word "Malay" like that.

This guy is actually desperate as he knows that without Umno supporting Perikatan, Pribumi Bersatu which is his ship now will sink.

He can't jump back to Umno because he had done all the jumping that he could and Umno people must surely still remember how cocky he and the other turncoats were right after GE14.

Why can't people like Rais just shut up and disappear?

Then there's this one,


Duhhh...this Musa Hitam is still around too?

And now suddenly making an appearance  giving Umno an advice which is soo obvious.

Yeah, that's a good advise but coming from him made me cringed.

Where was Musa back then when everyone said Umno is dead post GE14?

He had a cushy lucrative job (if you can call it a job) at the Sime Darby Foundation at that time and I was told that he refused to go anywhere near Umno, let alone lending a helping hand to save it.

Now he's dishing it advice and talk like this,

excerpts;

In the interview, Musa also explained that severe infighting within Umno has caused the party to be splintered into three factions.

One faction he described as Umno puritans who believe in the spirit of the party, the second faction are those who side with the party leaders such as its current president Datuk Seri Ahmad Zahid Hamid, and the third consists of capable leaders that were not given the opportunities to step forward.

Yeah, right.

As if he now suddenly knows Umno inside out again.

Eh, does he ever goes down on the ground and talk with the real Umno grassroots (I'm not talking about the ketua2 bahagian, okay)?

Does he knows that the Umno grassroots is still very strong, even when everyone said it's dead after GE14 and people like him abandoned the party and people like Rais betrayed it?

Whatever lah.

You see, that's why I'm feeling quite fed up these days.

I keep bumping into stories of useless people making useless statements quite a lot of late.

Friday, 5 March 2021

PN vs PH vs BN (or is it MN?)

It's confirmed then that Umno (and most likely its BN allies too) wanted to go on their own for GE15.

I don't mind that at all.

PN vs BN vs PH. That should be quite interesting.

Pribumi Bersatu said they were not scared but I think they do.

The flying car minister said there are still the Umno election, hinting that if there's a change of that party's leadership, then Umno will stick with supporting PN.

Sure.

I believe they are betting on their trojan horses in Umno to take over the party leadership and change its course.

They can try.  Pour lots of money and it may work. Fair enough.

Who? Hishammuddin and KJ? 

But those two are too liberal for Pribumi Bersatu's ultra-Malay designs or Pas ultra-Islamic aspirations.

Other than those, who else?

Never mind. Let's just wait and see.

It's Pribumi Bersatu's best hope for survival, I guess.

Seriously, if that one doesn't work, I don't think PN stand any chance to survive GE15.

PN now solely rely on Pas' machinery to fight on the ground.

Really. Pribumi Bersatu and the other insignificant parties in the coalition have almost zero grassroots structure.

What? Gerakan? Gerakan is now just a joke, okay.

In fact it has been a joke for quite a while.

They may as well recruit Keyvias and his....what is the name of his party now?

Come to think of it, Pas, which is the only one in PN with real machinery should just turn the whole gig into its own coalition. 

It would be very much like its funny little coalition for GE14 which even its name nobody remembers.

Okay, in the event of a real three-cornered fight like in GE14, which I think is really going to happen, who do you think will win?

PH is definitely happy, thinking the Malay votes are going to split again.

But bear in mind that the dynamics have changed.

There's no more that sympathy for Dr Mahathir factor anymore.

Pas may hold their ground in their strongholds but they are not going to get the votes from disgruntled Umno people which was a huge factor in the sinking of BN in GE14.

Pribumi Bersatu and the other nonsense parties in PN will be wiped out. I'm quite sure of that.

After all, what could they offer anyway.

Okay, the non-Malays are still mostly going to side with PH but the enthusiasm will not be as great as in the last two GEs.

These are bad time, okay. They know now that instability is really bad for business, especially now with Covid-19 wrecking havoc up and down the country.

During PH's 22 months rule, except for the satisfaction of having Guan Eng as finance minister, I don't think they got much else.

Oh, okay, they got to see Najib being humiliated and dragged to court. But compared to now, I think their businesses did better during Najib's time.

Never mind, I know, they'll give it another try. Sure. It's the pride thing.

Again, let's wait and see.

It's always a gamble anyway. Except this time, the price could be quite high if they lose.

Back to Pas. 

If they are a bit smarter than I think they are, they could see all these and decide to side with Umno and BN rather than the almost sure losers of Pribumi Bersatu and its other nonsense PN allies.

Remember, they still have that MN (Muafakat Nasional) thing with Umno and its BN gang going.

If this happens, then PH would likely be as screwed as PN.

It would be a real Malay tsunami.

I'm quite sure of this.

It's only fair. They talked about Hindraf tsunami in GE12, Chinese tsunami in GE13 and rakyat tsunami in GE14. Why not a real Malay tsunami this time, right?

Racist? Eh, BN fielded MCA in the Malay-majority Tanjong Piai by-election and they destroyed PH, which fielded a Malay candidate.You all forgot, is it?

Well, I wouldn't worry too much if I were you. 

Malays are nice people and their tsunami should be very brief. And they are not very vengeful. 

Also, they'll very soon quarrel among themselves again.

Then it's back to business as usual.

Not so bad, okay. 

Wednesday, 3 March 2021

Prosecuting Sajat

 So, it has came to this,

Transgender Nur Sajat – now in hiding - wants to renounce Islam

Great work they did, these supposed to be promoters and defenders of Islam.

I previously wrote about this 

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Even if that Sajat is an irritating and troublesome pondan, I don't think they should have bullied her like that.

Now that Sajat wants to renounce Islam, they said she was being emotional.

Sigh.

There was even this one ustaz pencetus ummah who also commented that it's Sajat's own fault that she ends up wanting to quit being a Muslim and that she was a disgrace to Islam.

Yea right, and how about his pencetus ummah type who were charged with rape, divorced their pregnant wives to marry other women and such?

Charge them with disgracing Islam too la.

I don't normally comment on religious matters as I'm not a religious person, but the hypocrisy surrounding this Sajat's case was a bit too much.

To recap, Sajat was charged with insulting Islam for organising a religious event at her business premises and wearing a baju kurung and tudung at the function.

How could that even compare with posing as a religious man at national level and using the status to lure women to be raped or using Islam to justify divorcing a pregnant wife to marry another woman.

And how about those who use Islam for personal gains through politics and business?

Aren't they more damaging to Islam than Sajat and her antics?

Well, damage done already.

I'm just writing this to let off steam.

Nothing could actually be done, okay.

I have seen what they did when they catch transgender offenders.

I was at a magistrate's court once a few years ago and was told that a bunch of transgenders were about to be charged for prostitution.

 I look at the people who were about to be charged and none of them looked like a transgender prostitute.

Turned out they had shaved the transgenders' heads and that day they looked very much like army recruits or prison inmates.

There were seven of them and they each got a few weeks in jail. 

I think they are going to catch Sajat in the end and throw the book at her. After all, hundreds of Jais people, assisted by the police are hunting her now.

Her alleged offence carries a maximum RM5,000 fine and three years jail.

But I don't think those potential punishments are the ones that made her wanted to renounce Islam.

It's the thought of being further humiliated that's most scary to her.

Ya, they do love to humiliate people like Sajat.

Imagine a botak Sajat in a prison garb and handcuffed.


A disgrace to Islam, they said.

Well, Sajat should have just migrated to another country to save herself from all this trouble.

Maybe after this.

And I hope she will not renounce Islam when she's over there.

Allah knows her better than those people.

Sunday, 28 February 2021

A tip on how to identify a good politician

I almost got it right with this previous post

GE15 should not be too immediate

excerpts;

This is because, I believe Muhyiddin now has the number in parliament.

He is likely to have bought enough time to get enough Umno MPs to back his Perikatan government.

It turned out that Muhyiddin got his extra seats in parliament form PKR, and not Umno as I wrote,.

PKR’s Julau, Tebrau MPs defect to support Perikatan

And they talked so much about Umno people being unprincipled.

Then there's this one also,

Amanah Youth tells PKR to stop hypocrisy over party hopping


Yup, they are even hopping among themselves.

That's what I really can't stand about Pakatan people - their hypocrisy.

Say people corrupt lah, no principle lah, racist lah, bla bla bla.... but they are themselves actually those.

Talked about Najib and Umno being corrupt, but some of  themselves are facing corruption charges in court.

Oh, when it comes to them, it's selective prosecution lah, kangaroo court lah, etc etc....

So tiresome.

Be honest lah, did our lives get any better after GE14?

What? It's Umno fault is it?

Three years on and we still want to repeat that mantra? Like Guan Eng?

That guy also got corruption charges hanging over his head, okay.

Do also remember that Pakatan lost Putrajaya not because of Umno but instead due to their own screwed up political games.

Now we got this Perikatan government which I doubt is viable for very long.

We have now lost that critical edge that we used to have over our regional competitors - political stability.

The economy is simply bad now.

Yup, and with this Covid-19 crisis, we are in even tighter spot.

Remember "Ini kali lah!", "Ubah!" and the other slogans?

You all still believe in those?

Sigh.

Ya, I know, it's democracy. We are free to choose.

But the price was quite steep I think.

It's okay la for you all who have money and stable jobs, but for the rest of us, we now just want to survive.

Next time let's not be fooled by these politicians.

Just choose the good ones.

Never mind the parties.

How?

Let me give you all a tip - a politicians who talk a lot is useless. Statements here, speeches there, sloganeering everywhere...those are all bullshit.

The good ones talk only when necessary and just do their work for the rakyat. Vote for them.

Try to remember that when GE15 comes along. 

Saturday, 27 February 2021

The good Umno people

 Received a request to publish these from a journalist friend,




Alhamdulilah 
Terima Kasih kepada Tuan Haji SUB, Ketua Ketua Cawangan Tuan Haji Aziz Abdullah, Encik Amirnuddin, Encik Badrul, Encik Abd Rahman Ehsan Jaya, Encik Nazri, Encik Othman, Encik Jais KC Kuini, Puan Hajah Nora Ketua Wanita Bahagian serta Ajk yang telah bersama sama dan juga mereka yang telah mewakilkan Biro Kebajikan Umno Bahagian Tebrau pada minggu ini bagi memberi  sumbangan kepada  5 orang penerima barang  barang keperluan harian, bantuan perbelanjaan harian, kerusi roda, katil pesakit dan juga tilam angin kepada mereka yang memerlukan 

Di ucapkan ribuan terima  kasih yang tiada terhingga kepada Yg Bhg Datuk Maulizan KB Umno Bahagian Tebrau serta Mr Ng Pengerusi MCA Bahagian Tebrau serta Ajk nya 
yang sudi memberi bantuan tersebut 

Terima kasih

Well, it's good to know that there are still Umno people who continued to do their best for the rakyat instead of just talking about politics all the time.

I personally knew Maulizan, the Umno division chief of Tebrau since my days in Johor.

He's one of the good Umno leaders. A very honest and work oriented guy.

Unfortunately, Maulizan, along with the other Umno and BN candidates in Tebrau were badly defeated in GE14 despite the good they had done.

That was at the height of public anger towards the Umno/BN leadership.

However, despite the rakyat's rejection at that time, they are still serving with whatever they could muster.

Really admirable.

I wonder what the Pakatan Harapan MP and assemblymen in Tebrau have been doing since they won their seats in 2018.

I really hope good Umno and BN people like Maulizan and the gang will make a comeback in GE15 instead of the bad ones now jockeying for positions to continue being parasites.

Thursday, 25 February 2021

GE15 should not be too immediate

As you all should know by now, Yang DiPertuan Agong Sultan Abdullah had yesterday decreed that the parliament could be reconvened despite the ongoing state of Emergency.

I believe the Agong, being the good king that he is, wanted the country to continue being a democracy.

Thank you, Tuanku.

Well, surely now the opposition people led by Anwar will once again go after Muhyiddin with their no-confidence motions in parliament.

Oh, they must be so itchy for that now.

And of course by right, if that happened, Muhyiddin will dissolve the parliament paving the way for GE15.

Never mind that the Covid-19 pandemic is still raging with thousands of new cases being recorded everyday.

However, I have a feeling that this will not happen. At least not immediately.

This is because, I believe Muhyiddin now have the number in parliament.

He is likely to have bought enough time to get enough Umno MPs to back his Perikatan government.

For the sake of the country, those Umno leaders would say later.

After all, Umno had even before the declaration of state of Emergency stated that it would only push for GE15 if the pandemic has been placed under control.

Anyway, I don't believe the Agong would have issued the decree to let parliament reconvene if he knew it would lead to more Covid-19  infections and deaths.

He must have somehow knew that GE15 will not immediately be held amidst the pandemic despite him allowing the parliament to meet again.

I'm actually fine with that and in fact hopes that was indeed the case.

I'm not that crazy to have the GE15 as long as the Covid-19 crisis is still not showing signs of easing.

All I want for now is for our democracy to be restored.

Meanwhile, I noticed that some failed Umno leaders are trying hard to make a comeback.

These are the people who screwed up and finally lost their position in GE14. 

They tried to project an image of being an Umno hero by bashing the Perikatan government, knowing well that the party grassroots are unhappy about being bullied by Pribumi Bersatu.

This is one of them today,

Titah Agong ‘mimpi ngeri’ buat Muhyiddin, halang kerajaan PN berkuasa penuh, kata Aziz Kaprawi

This Aziz Kaprawi lost his Seri Gading parliamentary seat in Johor during GE 14 despite the constituency being at that time an Umno fortress in the Johor Malay heartland.

That's how screwed up he was.

Well, I guess he wanted to have another go at it.

Then there was the former Johor MB and state Umno chief Khaled Nordin who lost the entire state and on top of that the parliamentary and state seats that he contested.

He has been making all sorts of anti-Perikatan statements of late in his capacity as Umno vice-president, a position stupidly given to him in the aftermath of GE14. 

I guess Umno people were so dazed and confused by the disaster at that time that they forgot Khaled's "achievements" in that general election.

I highlighted his recent nonsense in my previous posts.

Also making all kind of heroic statements against Muhyiddin was another failed Johor Umno guy by the name of Puad Zarkashi.

Not unlike in Khaled's case, I'm also not sure how the Umno people had became so blurred that they elected him as a member of the party's supreme council after GE14.

He is probably hoping to once again contest the Batu Pahat parliamentary seat which he lost back in GE13. Yup, that's even before Umno and BN drove themselves into the longkang in GE14.

Well, I don't really mind that. Will enjoy a good laugh when he loses again.

Hopefully though, Umno people are a bit wiser now.

There were others like these clowns, but I'm only going to mention those few as they are from Johor, which I'm most familiar with.

Anyway, as I mentioned above, I think there's quite a while more before GE15.

At least until the Covid-19 numbers drop significantly.

That should be at least until the end of the year.

So, the focus should still be on fighting the pandemic and reviving the economy.

Hopefully the vaccination process , which started today will go smoothly and with that normalcy will return.