I have expected that.
If Umno has proceeded with forcing its allies into supporting the Pas-initiated Bill to strengthen the power of Syariah Courts, I believe BN will collapse.
The non-Malay Muslim component parties will leave it.
I believe the component parties in Sarawak will also do the same.
Even Sabah Umno may become very uncomfortable about it.
MCA, Gerakan and the others are weak now, but without them the multi-racial BN simply can't exist.
Umno can't afford to lose them.
If they leave, the multi-racial vehicle which has enabled BN to rule the country all these while will become that of the opposition coalition's.
Pakatan Harapan currently consist Pribumi Bersatu (Malay), PKR (multi-racial), Amanah (moderate Islamist) and DAP (Chinese-based).
Other than that, the BN's Sarawak parties have clearly made their stand that they don't want Pas to gain a foothold in their State. Working with the Islamist party on RUU355 will open the door for Pas to do exactly that. Do bear in mind that the majority of Sarawakians are non-Muslims.
It's almost the same scenario in Sabah.
I actually wrote something about all these in this post on Jan 27,
What will happen is that the opposition will seize the opportunity to turn itself into a multi-racial coalition like BN used to be. They have Malay Muslims dominating PKR, Amanah and Pribumi Bersatu.
Umno, after getting rid of MCA and the other supposedly "trojan horses", will be with Pas (which since its inception aims to destroy Umno) and the bumiputera parties in Sabah and Sarawak.
Bear in mind that the Pas grassroots have always been opposed to the idea of teaming up with Umno. I even believe that they hate Umno more than they hate DAP.
And those Sabah and Sarawak bumiputera parties were never comfortable with using race and religion as political tools, as such tactics don't even work over there.
They may even pull out of BN too if Umno insists on going along with Pas on the RUU355 issue.
I was told that even Sabah Umno feels the same discomfort over the matter.
Contrary to what those RUU355 supporters in Umno think, many Malay Muslims, including those in Umno itself are not with them.
The majority of Malay Muslims are not racial or religious bigots and want to continue living in a peaceful and moderate multi-racial Malaysia.
Umno may ends up going into the next general election holding just its own balls if it proceeds with supporting the Pas' RUU355 agenda.
However, I do believe that PM and Umno president DS Najib Razak and his better lieutenants can see this danger.
They will not let BN to self-destruct over the matter.
Ya, I think I got it right when I wrote that post.
|Weird characters at Pas-initiated RUU355 gathering at Padang Merbok in February|
Well, the guy who wrote this in early February also got it right,