Tuesday 8 February 2022

Pakatan could win at most 18 seats in Johor

 EC will decided the date of the Johor election tomorrow.

My bet is that it will be held as soon as possible with a short campaigning period considering the rising number of Covid-19 cases.

They can't afford to to push it way back and give a prolonged campaign as that will increase the risks of infections among the people.

I also believe that would be the best way to do it as most people in Johor have likely by now decided who they are going to vote for and that include those who are sitting on the fence.

There's no need for too much campaigning as people just want to get over the election quickly and go on their way trying to survive the current bad economy caused by the pandemic and poor administration over the past four years.

I think the result of the Johor election is a foregone conclusion too.

BN will win big and its opponents, which are currently in disarray would at most be able to retain only a handful from the seats that they won in 2018.

They said Undi18 will turn the table on BN but I disagree.

Most of the kids who can vote this time, I believe, will have the same idea as who they should vote for as that of their elders.

There will be over 700,000 new voters in Johor for the state election but the pattern of voting will not likely to change by much. After all, only 30 per cent of them are actually those between the age of 18 and 21, whom the Pakatan people think to be all on their side.

I believe that, at most, BN would lose only 18 of the 56 seats to be contested.

Those were seats of Chinese majority constituencies and vey small Malay majority ones.

They are Jementah, Bekok, Tangkak, Bentayan, Sungai Abong, Maharani, Yong Peng, Parit Yaani, Penggaram,  Mengkibol, Puteri Wangsa, Johor Jaya, Stulang, Pengkalan Rinting, Skudai, Bukit Batu, Senai, and Pekan Nenas.

Most of them are DAP strongholds.

That means, at its worst, BN would still win at least 38 seats, which is a two third majority.

As for their opponents, I believe Malay-based parties Pribumi Bersatu, Pas and Amanah will be wiped out while Chinese-based DAP will have the most of the 18 seats potentially to be won, giving one or two of them to its PKR ally.

The reality on the ground in Johor has been quite clear after the outcome of Tanjong Piai by-election two years ago when MCA's Wee Jeck Seng soundly thrashed a Malay Pribumi Bersatu candidate in that significantly Malay-majority parliamentary constituency.

People are fed-up with the mess after Pakatan took over in 2018.

Okay, to be fair they were actually starting to get fed-up ever since Khaled Nordin became MB in 2013 but things just got so much worse after GE14.

Even the Chinese community in Johor could feel this, but I don't think that they have much choice but to mostly continue supporting DAP. 

Too much pride at stake, I believe.

But who knows, MCA, if it has good enough candidates, may spring a few surprises like in the recent Malacca election. The same with MIC.


  1. biggest piece of shit i read in a long time ha ha ha

    1. We already had 22 mnths of shit and that's long enough ...


  2. Out of the 18 seats that you have predicted, pkr will win 0. Another big fat zero awaits ahead for its president to quzzle for the 3rd time. May all Undi18 offer their votes to MUDA. That will send a strong chill down BN's spine before GE15.

  3. I think BERSATU will win all the seats they contest but the winnings are not enough for them to rule Johore even if DAP seats are counted in. PKR will be wiped out as well as PAS. Amanah may win a few seats.

  4. many elders have no problem to give their vote to pencuri and penipu, cant believe the kids likely do the same,is that genetic?

  5. Haaahaaaahassa banyak cantek Muka, nak menang senang lenang....
    Kusufian Write@blogspot
    Without insurance, UMM-I knowhow, Petaiii pungggg bole menang 2 kerusi...
    Read Carefully Anne n Gangs...
    PKR akan Guna simbol baru Mata Noor Kumalasari Not Mata Anwar.
    SS Budak Boy Calun MBJ.
    PH n PN will only defend their winning seats. Balance goes to Pom2. Petaiii, Warisan....
    Its One to One, Bebas, Putra add in...
    Kusufian Write@blogspot
    Talqin Untuk UMNO dtd 15 April 2018

  6. During 22 months did PH steal money.How many have been charged. Past 60 odd years previous administration squaudered so munch like 1mdb. Kwp.tabung haji.felda Mara. Kwap. Src. As far i am concern i dont give a hoot who you choose. Dont complain when other peoples have money. Go holiday oversea. Send thier kids oversea and seek employment elsewhere. You dig your own grave and dont expect others to help. Choose your leader carefully so you can prosper not your leaders to prosper. They drove vellfire you still ride kapchai. They increase thier own salary. You are your employer for meager increment. You robbed supermarket while your leaders is having dinner in upscale restaurants.So i dont give a hoot who win the election. I dont give a hoot on what is going on in this country.

  7. Jilat kuat Annie, jgn tak jilat : )

    I think by now your bosses should pay you.....hmmmmmmm.

    RM3.99 per ten posts?

    Mesti cali makan, maaaaaaa!

  8. Betul kah penyokong Bossku tak tahu malu seperti dakwaan Tun Mahathir..!?

    Di anggarkan sekitar RM120 bilion aset yang kerajaan Pakatan Harapan jual adalah hasil carian Bossku.

    Ketika Abdullah Badawi menjadi Perdana Menteri, dia memikul beban hutang peninggalan Tun Mahathir.

    Malah membatalkan projek Jambatan bengkok pun kerajaan Abdullah kena bayar pampasan hampir RM900 juta kepada kroni Mahathir.

    Itu lah beban hutang diwarisi oleh Pak Lah @ Tun Lah. Tapi, berbanding Mahathir , dia seronok menjual aset pennggalan Bossku.

    Kesemua aset yang di jual dan digadai oleh kerajaan Mahathir datang dari carian Bossku, namun hanya hutang sahaja yang Mahathir sebut, keuntungan dan aset aset Mahathir tidak puji.

    Berbalik kepada kenyataan Mahathir , Bossku dan penyokong berasa tidak malu konon bossku itu perompak dan tidak malu menyokongnya.

    Mahathir sebenarnya ketinggalan zaman dan bercakap umpama radio usang.

    Ini bukan zaman pembunuhan Memali dan zaman BMF Auditor penyiasat skandal BMF mati di bunuh. Kini zaman maklumat hujung jari.

    Mahathir dan PH sangka sumbat sahaja kes kepada mulut rakyat , maka mereka akan terus jadi bodoh dan dungu.

    Kali ini rakyat bermaklumat, berpengetahuan dari Media utama dan Media sampingan.

    Jika dulu sumbat sahaja cerita versi kerajaan berkenaan pembunuhan orang Islam Memali maka rakyat akan dengar.

    Sumbat sahaja kisah auditor siasat skandal BMF Mahathir mati dibunuh, terus di terima begitu sahaja. Sampai sekarang pembunuh syuhada Jalil Ibrahim bebas kaya raya 7 keturunan.

    Selepas rakyat sedar Mahathir menipu manipesto dan masih cuba rasuah rakyat dengan cerita 1MDB , terus satu persatu Kawasan dimenangi semula oleh Barisan Nasional sehingga tujuh Kawasan berturut turut.

    Kemudian rakyat tolak Mahathir, PH dan Bersatu di dua PRN Melaka dan Sarawak.

    Semenjak itu kisah dan kes 1MDB hanya laku kepada penyokong PH dan mereka yang tidak tahu ditipu oleh PH.

    Kali ini lagi memalukan sebaik sahaja Mahathir dan DAP menipu manifesto, terus rakyat tidak lagi percaya apa sahaja yang datang dari Mahathir dan DAP.

    Penyokong bossku tahu betapa kes di reka untuk bossku sahaja, terlalu banyak pincang pada kes bossku dari segi pembuktian, saksi, dan maklumat maklumat yang disembunyikan.

    Selain itu, kisah para hakim, dan peguam semua dalam pengetahuan rakyat dan penyokong bossku. Mereka bukan seperti penyokong Mahathir yang tuli, pekak dan buta.

    Sangat memalukan Melayu sesama bangsa Melayu berantakan bercakaran, berbunuhan sesama sendiri angkara seorang Cina bernama Jho Low. Kaum Cina tak pula maki hamun Jho Low mungkin di sanjung wira kaum Cina.

    Tak malu ker..Jho Low dan tuan nya DAP@LeeKwanYew PAP di Singapura sedang terbahak ketawa tepok tangan tengok bodoh bangang pemimpin barua mereka.

    Pulau Batu Putihilik bsngsa Johor pun barua DAP@LeeKwanYew pun beri pada anak Lee Kwan Yew sambil gentel2 telo laboh nya...Memalukan Puiiii..!!

    Bossku yang dapat nasihat masukkan duit dalam akaun bank oleh ex- Gabnor Zety dihukum penjara. National Embarrassment” Bukan Kes Bossku, Tapi duit AMLA masuk dalam keluarga Zety dengan mencuri Tidak dihukum penjara pula.! Malah satu bijik bulu Zety pun tidak diusik pun oleh pemerintah..!!

    National Embarrassment” Bukan Kes Bossku,kes gagal Mendakwa skandal RM700 juta Keluarga Zeti kes AMLA. Maka, Mahathir harus simpan sahaja perkataan “Malu” untuk diri sendiri , itu pun jika ada perasaan malu.

  9. If pencuri kemaluan negara can roam free looped by large umno supporters why do johore need a leadership of better quality? Anything less than the thief is regarded as excellent.

  10. If johorean win by BN the same MB will lead the Johorian... the thing is no two third majority .

    But after PRN Johor BN will sapu bersih eith more then two third majority... Rakyat will see clearly the quality of MB...


  11. Hi Annie quality piece but 48+18 is 66 Johor DUN is only 56.. i feel at most ph/pn etc can win 10 to 15 thts leave BN to 46 to 42.

    Keep it goin, love ur writing.

    1. Oh ya, I cocked up the numbers. Corrected it. Thanks for pointing that out.

  12. Aisay Annie....yr prediction based on reading yr crystal ball, or reading tea leaves or tarrot cards or from a card picking parrot? U will make a gt stand up comedian Annie. I have never laughed so much.

  13. Way to go MY. You might be accused of etical conduct but NR is found guilty of criminal conduct. Dont let him kick you while lying down. Fight back.Dont let him become his party puppet master doing evil bidding. Hancur negara with peoples with no shame.