Rafizi's data?
As the great MMA fighter Khabib said "This is number one bullshit".
The other day the guy said data collected by his multi-million ringgit Invoke team concluded that Dr Mahathir didn't contribute to Pakatan's victory in 2018 and that's why they don't want him in their team for GE15.
Dr Mahathir replied if that was so, why did Pakatan made him the PM after the last general election?
Exactly spot on.
Any political analyst worth his salt would know that without Dr Mahathir, Pakatan would not win in 2018 even with all the 1MDB shit being floated around.
Multitude of Malays were so sympathetic with the handsome old man that they swallowed all the shit Pakatan was peddling and voted against BN that year.
It was Najib's brainless team's fault for whacking Dr Mahathir like crazy back then without considering that Malays actually hated it when they did that.
Arrogant sons of bitches.
Of course the Dr Mahathir's factor is no more this time and that's the real reason why Pakatan doesn't want him anymore.
You can use the sympathy card of any issue just once. No repeats.
Remember, in 1999, Umno suffered badly due to Malays' sympathy for the jailed Anwar but in 2004 the coalition scored a landslide victory.
Don't tell me that Rafizi's Invoke didn't realise this.
Today, the guy said his outfit's data indicated that Tok Mat is not safe in Rembau.
Really?
He never gave the details of the Invoke's data though.
Rembau voters are roughly more than 70 per cent Malays, 16 per cent Indians and nine per cent Chinese.
KJ won there by over 4,000 majority in 2018 amidst the BN meltdown at that time.
There's no indication that things have gone worse for BN there over the past four years.
In fact, Tok Mat convincingly won his Rantau state constituency, which is part of Rembau in the 2019 by-election.
Rantau voters are roughly 54 per cent Malays, 28 per cent Indians and 19 per cent Chinese.
Yup, Rantau is less Malay than Rembau.
Okay, I know, Rafizi was just trying to sow doubts among the BN people and instil some confidence among Pakatan people but the bullshit was a little bit too obvious lah.
He should have picked on something more realistic.
Honestly, I never really care much about the findings of all those outfits, like Invoke, Merdeka Centre and such.
Their readings of things were so conveniently one sided to suit their political preferences.
I'm only commenting on this one by Rafizi because it's too farcical to ignore.
Boring lahhhhh Annie. Actually BN lost because their bloggers like you were too dumb to explain away 1MDB (and you still can't.) Anyway, I need you to post more about Adib, ya? Tnanks!
ReplyDeleteYa more adib post please. PN also cannot find the guy who beat adib. Ismail government also cannot find adib killer. 2 police chief later also cannot find who fault it was. All malay leaders.
DeleteAnon 12:29
DeleteBoring konon. Perangai Pakatoons memang haprak.
Hari hari tiap kali Blog ini lah kamu tengok dulu.
Jika tak mahu boring pegi lah blog Malaysiakini ke sesuai dengan selera Pakatoon kamu.
Spot on.
ReplyDeleteIn G14 this "idiot" said PAS will not win anything.
But what happened was the opposite.
Rafizi rapusi ini lah yang deraf macam macam manifesto PRU 14 PH.dia yg kira formula harga Petrol RM 1.50 .Dia dapat jawatan sekarang pun sebab Si Jemin dah lompat parti.Pemimpin PH memang terbukti bangang sebab pakai Rafizi rapusi .tapi apa nak heran kan.Mat Sabu,Guan Eng,Anwar lebih bangang lagi daripada Rafizi.
DeleteDia patut fikir macamana nak lawan Tee Keat di Pandan .
What rafizi & everyone else is ignoring... some of us are more scared of zahid becoming pm than anwar or worse still anwar becoming pm & zahid is deputy!
ReplyDeleteMay God save Msia from the Munafiks ...aamiin yra
Ya one vote BN means 1 vote zahid become PM.
DeleteKorang Pakatoons Dan Dapigs memang lah takut Zahid jadi PM .Orang2 BN tak takut,tak heran, lagipun Zahid Presiden UMNO.jika BN menang PRU 15, Zahid bolih lantik diri dia atau orang lain jadi calun PM.Apa yg Pakatoons dan Dapigs ni hinggar bingar
DeleteSangat .Tunjukan lah apa kelebihan PH utk kami sokong jadi kerajaan.APA KELEBIHAN PH????(selain hari hari cakap nak lantik Anwar jadi PM,weiii Pakatoons dan Dapigs yg bangang.Si Anwar tu asal dari tangki tahi BN / UMNO juga tau,kamu ingat Anwar dah berubah? Tengok Madey jadi PM semula,ada Madey berubah sifat )
Apasal zahid bodoh Sangat tak nak jadi pm. Apasal takut nak mengaku zahid? Dapig takut atau zahid yang takut?
DeleteKalau Zahid jadi pm, itu bermakna msia ni dah turun sama taraf dgn sri lanka, uganda, zimbabwe, dan yg sewaktu dgn nya. Tak ad yg baik akan dtg dari manusia yg bertopengkan agama. Pemimpin yg menonjolkan imej warak tapi buat duit derma mcm duit sendiri & tak takut termakan duit haram hanya akan melingkup kan negara ini.
DeleteAnon 18:00.
DeleteCuba terangkan logik kamu Malaysia akan jadi macam Sri Lanka dll jika Zahid perintah .???
Komen macam kamu Rafizi sotong dah kerap ulang.Logik kamu pulak apa
Anon 6nov 19:23, ni soalan exam budak u je ni.. katanya kes 1mdb dah masuk buku teks uni as case study, toksah lah tambah 1 lagi case study utk dunia.
Delete1. Zahid x amanah, bukti: guna duit derma mcm duit sendiri, contoh guna duit derma utk bayar duit muka beli saham resort. Dlm islam bolehke buat duit sedekah mcm tu?
2. Zahid x pandai pengurusan wang, bukti: buat yayasan tapi pengurusan kewangan yayasan entah apa2. Tak ada rekod aliran keluar masuk. Koperasi budak sekolah pun lagi telus pengurusan kewangan mereka.
3. Zahid suka mintak derma tanpa resit drpd syarikat2 yg dapat kontrak kjaan. Bukti.. baca je rekod mahkamah. Ko ingat ada investor besar2 nak dtg melabur kat msia ni kalau dia jadi pm? Baik deme melabur kat vietnam ..rakyat rajin nak mati or kat indon, negara 2xx juta penduduk, or kat s'pore.
Yg akan melabur kat msia ni kalau zahid jadi pm hanya syarikat china duit byk x tau nak buat apa atau bff arab saudi beli sokongan.
Cukuplah 3 sebab ni, karang jadi cerpen pulak komen ni.
#umngokbutamatahati
I voted BN out in 2018 because of 1mdb. In 2022 proved me right when FC convicted this felon. I do not give 2 sen about AI and his reformasi but i voted for MM. Similarly i will vote RJ in putrajaya in pru15 even though I do not give 3 sen about PN
ReplyDeleteHarapan made a big mistake to team with MM in 2018. MM return as PM to regurgitate 3rd national car and crooked bridge. Old man had no new idea and stuck in 1980s mindset. Thank God Harapan dump MM this time around.
DeleteWithout teaming up with MM, PH could never have a taste of winning GE, let alone to be in the office despite only for 22 mths. Pls be appreciative the contributions of a nonagenarian.
Deleteyour disagreement is because not much of survey or finding tell umno/bn would come back strongly with a two thirds majority. i have no idea who is more right. i hope you are wrong but only time can tell.
ReplyDeleteSaudara HY.
DeleteBN tidak mungkin dapat undi 2/3 .
Tapi BN akan dapat " simple majority" selepas bergabung dengan GPS Sarawak dan MP2 Sabah
I definately do not agreed with Rafizi. I voted for PH in GE14 mainly because of 1MDB and did not want Najib to be PM again. I voted for PH then too because I believed Tun MM can unite and lead the opposition to be the better Govt. If it has been Anwar only, I doubt I will go out and vote for PH eventhough I dont want Najib to be back. Rafizi is also inconsistent and pusing here pusing there when he wants his ways or people. How can he said Tian Chua will be dealt with only after GE15? Umno is firm on this issue with Shahidan and Zahidi. Is Rafizi telling PH supporters to vote for Tian Chua and if Tian Chua wins, all will be forgetten as they are only interested to get the numbers and not the interests of the voters? Imagine all parties practice that and we are back to a nation with many "frogs". Its really baffling but then again they are all politicians and each is potentially a "frog".
ReplyDeletePakatoon kerajaan pasti lebih rm2.5k
DeleteSikalang semua lakyat miskin kasi sekadar max RM2.5K satu tahun pun mau hingak hina2 juga ke?
sikalang pakatoon kerajaan "bois and gangs" kerja kilang Keluang ok Prof nasi lemak
Haiyaaa. Memang bahalol betut la kamu ni.
DeleteBantuan kpd yg memerlukan sekadar max RM2.5K bukan bg tanah puluhan ribuan ekar FLEE pun kamu nak hina ya?
Sg negala yg agak terkaya dalam dunia pun sikalang hulur macam segala bantuan kpd rakyat mereka tau..
Tak dengaq plak olang PH hina rakyat Sg as PEMALAS, harapkan TONGKAT??
https://youtu.be/SoN8uguoHTI
Professor Nasi Lemak
Jika anda semua perhatikan baik baik.apa sebenarnya Rafizi/PH/Calun MP mereka nak tawarkan kepada kita semua pengundi jika mereka jadi kerajaan selepas PRU 15."Selain daripada ulang cakap Retorik yang sama.BN rasuah" .Dah hampir semua rakyat dah dengar dan tahu hal ini.Jadi apa yang Rafizi dan Anwar nak tawarkan?Lupakah kita betapa tidak cekapnya kerajaan PH bila di beri kuasa kerajaan selepas PRU 14.Ramai yg masih perangai macam Pembangkang walaupun sudah jadi kerajaan.Isu yang di perjuangkan bila Madey nak serah kuasa kepada Anwar hingga terjadi nya langkah PD. Ada tak cadangan pembinaan Malaysia yang lebih baik .
ReplyDeleteKamu semua bakal bakal MP nak "Minta Kerja " daripada Rakyat/Pengundi ,jadi cerita lah apa kelebihan kamu berbanding BN .Tapi jangan lah buat Manifesto yang mustahil pulak lagi sekali,ulang kebodohan selepas 100 hari PRU 14
Pakatoons cakap jika BN menang PRU 15 kes mahkamah Zahid Akan Di gugurkan.Habis Tu jika PH Pula menang,bukan ke kes Lim Guan Eng Akan juga di gugurkan(Sekali Lagi) .
ReplyDeletePakatoons buat buat lupa pulak,selepas PH menang PRU 14 , Kes Tokong Lim Di gugurkan,walaupun kes Ada " Prima Facie" ,SPRM pun terkejut .Ini Fakta bukan Auta tau.
Kes Zahid Baru Baru ini Di tolak Hakim Bicara sebab tiada " Prima Facie" , tak payah Zahid susah2 tunggu PRU pun ,sembang Kari betul Pakatoons ni .Korang nak tahu tak ,Tokong Lim sebenarnya tengah berdebar debar,tengah berharap kes terowong Di gugurkan jika PH menang. Sebab ITU Aku berpendapat Pakatoons ni semua Hipokrit .Cakap orang lain Kotor,tapi tangan sendiri penuh tahi ( Dalam mulut pun jangan2 Ada tahi,sebab cakap busuk )
Biarlah guan eng masuk jail kalau dia salah. Guan eng tak ada kuasa bukan dia PM. Ini kalau umno menang and zahid jadi PM. Kamu ingat zahid akan masuk jail kalau dia salah. Saya ingat dia akan istihar durarat dan masukkan jail hakim yang jatuhkan dia bersalah.
Deletei am going to vote for PN, voting for BN is as same as voting for PH,,,singapore news already reported that Zahid is waiting to be the next PM if BN win...and if BN lose....then Anwar will be the next PM after joining with BN
ReplyDeleteYa vote for Abah who shutdown the country for 2 years. Put the country in emergency cause he is afraid to lose the PM post. I still can't remember whether muhidin resigned or fired for incompetence.
DeleteSingapore news!!!!! that want always need Malaya down to enable limitless supply of cheap labours t like "my bois sang gangs" from kluang right. maybe you like PN "169" future PieM. quite suit to legalizse you know the Singapore un-natural laws.
DeleteAnonymous6 November 2022 at 19:18
Deletesekurang kurang nya. tiada "maaf stok telor abis"
aiya! bila mama kuttu ada mau serah!!! mama kuttu bisik kepada "tokrkong" kuan yin. dia tak pernah mau serah, ingat tak? apa yang di pejuang kan selain anak anak nya tak jon Najib di "river bamboo hotel"
DeleteIsu yang di perjuangkan bila Madey nak serah kuasa kepada Anwar hingga terjadi nya langkah PD.
I m not going to vote. BN r thieves....they stole fr d country billions n also stole the rakyat's choice of gomen. All crooks. Y bother to vote. The difference is d same
ReplyDeleteVote for the individual not party. If candidates are more or less equal, vote for the party that u think will be least damaging to the country in the long run.
DeleteAnon 13:53
DeleteBetter stay at home bro.Yes .Do not cast ur vote.
Again, according to Invoke, PH is about to have a memorable clean sweep almost all the seats in Klang Valley. So far, more than 80 are confirmed already in its bag and the number continues to grow. Seemingly, he has projected that Invoke is the real deal to the level of being able to issue a guaranteed PM appointment letter to Anwar, only after 3 days into the campaign. Waoo, how fascinating it does sound when a genius maestro is at work. Phuiii...! As bullshit as the Invoke is, and whatever comes out from his mouth who thinks peacocking still works. In full blast, hopefully, Ong TK is capable of wrecking and silencing him altogether. The same goes to the daydreamer in Tambun .
ReplyDeleteOng Tee keat saya jangka kan akan menang bergaya.Dia 2 penggal di Pandan.Otai di Pandan .Ramai pengundi masih ingatkan dia.
DeleteRafizi akan kalah dan akan terima nasib malang dia sebab terlalu bongkak dan suka merendahkan maruah orang lain.Gaya politik dan retorik dia orang dah nenyampah.
22mths in power PH self imploded, hancur berkecai sampai PM mereka pun cabut lari.. satu dunia jadi saksi!
ReplyDeleteRafizi, PH, PN, Pejuang, PBM dok merepet apa lagi nih?
Professor Nasi Lemak
Ya betul lebih baik zahid sebagai PM.
DeleteUmngok je yg nak zahid jadi pm. Munafik giler, punyalah takut termakan makanan x halal sampai lift pun kena asing tapi duit tak halal x kisah pulak. Islam akhir zaman.
DeleteSudah tentu lah zahid jadi pm bila BN menang.
DeleteAt least u hv 2 b King of Some'ing.
ReplyDeleteWhat is it?
sedih tak? Prof Nasi Lemak
Deleteingris jadi bahasa perantaraan - Indon Malaya
Raisa opts to use English during GV9 to avoid Bahasa Indonesia-Bahasa Malaysia 'false friends'
Rafizi baru2ni declared harta peribadi.. cakap berbuih2 riak semacam pasai saham Invoke dia brnilai RM17m ++. Start-up apa tuuu?
ReplyDeleteHaiyaaa. Mmg la whn it comes to IT start-ups, sapa2 pun
bole bg projection X 7 to 100 to 1000 growth potensi. Tp kena tgk keadaan semasa tau..
Ekonomi satu dunia sikalang sdg kelam kabut. US/Europe kjap2 nak boikot China, India, dn negara2 mana yg taknak ikut telunjuk mrk.. lepaihtu sekat/sanction takleh beli/ jual/ impot/ expot mcam segalanya..
Indon dn Aussie dh pakat naik kapai perang. North Korea dn SKorea, baruni plak fired ballistic missile over Japan (launched 23 missiles).. eh satni satu jatuh keatas platform Invoke Rafizi, mcam mana?
Baru2ni start-up platform online grocery yg gitu popular pun.. aft 7thn tetiba terpaksa katup, debt ridden ratusan juta ringgit??
Nuuu founder of Alibaba, Jackma skrg hilang entah kmana?
Amboi nuu. Bila kecam lawan calit tahi tak renti2. Mai tang hang melambung2 nak tunjuk hebat. Klo gitu bole tak share penyata tahunan bank dn financial sykt Invoke (3tahun) sini ?? Buat mcam facebook Bossku.. sentiasa akan lampirkan fakta2 dn butiran2 lengkap bg semua olang tengok.
Professor Nasi Lemak
Awat hang kalut sgt? Over declare pun nak gaduh... org terutama ahli politik selalu nya under declare & sorok2 harta, yg tu hang tak kalut pulak.
DeleteSusah taksub umngok ni, anak muda kerja cuci jamban hi-tech kat s'pore dibangga2 kan. Ni anak muda buat bisnes selain dari kosmetik timbang kilo atau sambal/ kerepek/etc hang doa bagi telungkup pulak.
Apa lah rafizi, Ya UMNO warlord lebih hebat. Kalau Ku Nan value at 990 million (reported during trial).. Jamaludin Jarjis value at 2 billion (sekarang in court emak sedang dispute). Najib 660 million asset rampas. Zahid 2 million dollar watch on hand. Sudah pasti UMNO yang lain sama standard.
DeletePeninsular seats 165 (122 predominant malay seats)
ReplyDeleteSabah/sarawak 57
(Minimum case scenario)
Peninsular seat
BN - 80
PH - 70
PN - 15
Sabah
BN -8
GRS-9
Warisan- 6
PH -3
Sarawak
GPS -25/26
Others - 6/5
BN will hv an upper hand to form govt with GPS n GRS
80+ 8+9 +25 = 122
PH is in a more difficult position bcoz they only can rely on sarawak to form a federal govt. GRS n BN sabah will definitely not going for PH, even tht i dont even see GPS would want to form a govt with PH simply bcoz of PH r standing against GPS in sarawak n DAP issue
In order to force GPS to b with PH, PH hv to win 90 to 100 peninsular seats.
N to get that number i just dont see tht will be happening bcoz PH is heavily depending on the high % of the new voters/fence sitter swing voters to go to them
BN admittedly know majority of the new voters/fence sitters is not with them but they do not need to cxl the majority votes tht PH will get. They only need 10% to 15 % votes from this group apart from their traditional 40% fixed voters
(Maximum case scenario)
A disclaimer. The 165 peninsular seat will hv approximately 15 to 20 grey seat in 3 states( perak, selangor n johor) tht can tilt to either side.
If BN prediction of the Malay momentum and the new voters % to BN is higher at 30% to 40 % is correct than we will see
90/95 seat to BN (even can go up to 100 which will wipe up Bersatu totally)
60/65 to PH
5/10 to PN
And i can see BN/GRS can win up to 20 seat with sarawak 26 seat.
90 + 46 = 136
If Rafizi prediction of his campaign has created huge swings from the new voters/fence sitters and reduce the impact of the malay tsunami
90 seat to PN
65 to BN
10 to PN
65 + 42 (sabah/sarawak) = 107 short of majority n BN hv to rope in PN with their 10 seat to form the govt with 117 seat.
Or PH can convince GPS to work with them (Highly unlikely to happen but everything is possible in politics)
90 + 26 = 116
Conclusions
With both minimum n maximum scenarios simulation prediction taking into account
1. The % of the Malay voters BN will get
2. 1st time voters/fence sitters % out for voting
These r the only 2 main factors tht will determine the outcome of this GE15.
I cannot see BN will fare worst thn GE 2018 (79 seats even with the 1st time voters n fence sitters r rope in.
GPS decision will b the key of which BN or PH will form the Federal govt but,
I just couldn’t see PH can form a Federal Govt even they win 90 seat in Peninsular.
Even more important to vote for the individual instead of party so that no matter how the wheeling & dealing we don't end up with jokers & yes man/woman for ministers.
DeleteI will be a hung parliment
DeleteUnknown8 November 2022 at 15:16
DeleteAsas dasar mereka menimati kan rm 2.5 k setahun
Bendahara9 November 2022 at 02:23
Deletehow was the number % MLY/BUMI voters support of PAKATOON + old sly fox 97 + mahaidin&gang
for PRU 15?
Dah lah lanun of pekan di goal skg nak pilih lanun of bagan datoh. Tak serit2 nak pilih lanun2. Lanun rembau pun sama tak berani nak keluar kawasan. Tak ada teloq
ReplyDeleteAgong lebih takut menjadi Raja pertama melantik Brader Sodomi menjadi PM .
DeleteSuami pm. Isteri tpm1. Anak tpm2. Contoh perfect nepotism terbaik. Raja tentu kagum dgn genetik spesis jenis ini. Demi bangsa, agama dan negara, rugi lah kalau tak lantik.
ReplyDeleteYa betul. Undi lah BN supaya zahid jadi PM.
Delete