Campaigning for the six state elections now enters its final lap.
I think Perikatan is more or less sure to retain Kelantan, Terengganu and Kedah while Pakatan would keep Penang.
The real tough fights would be in Selangor and Negri Sembilan.
Pakatan as the incumbent has the advantage to win the two states but a shocker could happen, especially in Selangor.
The votes swing in Selangor can be quite violent.
In the general election in 2004, BN won all parliament seats and only lost two state seats in Selangor. The votes however swung in 2008 and BN lost the state. Selangor BN never recovered from that loss.
Well, it all once again depends on the mood of Malay voters.
Are they happy with Anwar and the gang?
Do they feel that life is better now compared to life during....let's say Najib's time?
I can't answer these questions about how the people feel as I have not been on the ground for quite a long time.
I can only speak for myself.
I don't like Anwar and his gang because they bullshit too much and my life now is a lot worse compared to during Najib's time.
Ya, despite Najib being said to be corrupt, he did a lot of good for Malaysia and life was better, at least for me back then,
Non-Malay votes? Almost all of them will vote Pakatan again for DAP's sake but their number would not be good enough to counter a possible united bloc of Malay votes.
Guess they need to work more on chanting the mantra that it's racist for Malays to unite politically.
Can the outcome of the state election affect the government in Putrajaya?
Sure, if it's 6-0 or 5-1 or even 4-2 in Perikatan's favour.
The 4-2 is if Perikatan captures Selangor.
Pakatan can't afford to lose Selangor as the shockwave could affect the political dynamics of other states, including the all important Sabah and Sarawak.
Lose Selangor, and the Pakatan's Madani government would not likely to survive its full term.
Another factor that may affect the Madani government is how Umno performs at the polls.
If Umno gets wiped out, then Zahid's days should be numbered.
Not just Zahid, but the whole rotten bunch need to go.
How many failures before Umno or whatever is left of the party will act to change the party's leadership?
Umno people, how come you never learnt that you need to change your leader if he/she continuously failed and dragged the party into the longkang?
Anyway, if Umno people actually awaken from their stupor and get rid of Zahid, it would be just a matter of time before the party pulls out of Anwar's government.
That should be good enough to collapse it.