BN would still win GE15 despite the Johor nonsense

Someone asked me this morning whether BN could still win GE15 after the bullshit that happened in Johor last weekend.

My answer was, of course BN will win.

Yup, that's despite my vow not to vote for it because I was pissed off over the nonsense in Johor.

Mine is just one vote, okay. It doesn't really change anything. By the way I'm not giving my vote to anyone else, so BN people should not worry about it too much.

I'm just being a neutral observer now.

Okay, things maybe a bit more complicated in Johor for BN, but I don't think that nonsense over the MB appointment would affect it too much elsewhere.

As expected, Umno is pushing for an early GE15 at its ongoing general assembly and I think it will get its wish.

Ismail Sabri could not go against that. Otherwise he will be transformed from being a party vice-president into a party traitor.

So, GE15 will be held before the Umno election scheduled before end of this year. My bet is that it would be within two or three months from now, after Hari Raya.

I believe that Agong will agree with that, especially after what happened in Johor.

Why I think BN will win?

Simple. Because all the anti-BN people are now in a mess. 

They wouldn't have the time to focus on preparations for GE15.

It's quite evident that each one of them are now merely trying to save themselves.

Their leaders were doing everything they could to rally their own vote banks as they know the old rhetorics against BN didn't really work with most people anymore.

Guan Eng today issued yet another statement to project the image of DAP or to be more exact himself, as  the defender of the non-Malays by questioning the equity shareholding of Bumiputera.

And the other day, a bunch of Indian DAP MPs tried to create a scene in Dewan Rakyat over the Mitra issue so they could be seen as the heroes of their community. 

All very stupid, actually.

What they are doing just showed that they have actually gave up on winning GE15 and only want to keep their parliamentary seats.

As for the anti-BN Malay gang, they are finding it almost impossible to counter Umno as seen in Johor and Melaka.

They don't really have anything solid to offer the Malays.

True, there are still Malays who hate Umno so much that they would vote against it no matter what, but they are now a rather small minority.

Most Malays are fed up with what happened after GE14 and now they just want a strong and stable government again.

Pakatan actually really screwed up when it came to winning the hearts and minds of the Malays when they were in power after GE14.

Their leaders and supporters insulted the Malays to no end at that time by their words and conducts.

Personally, I will always remember what they said and did when fireman Adib died. Those were the most hurtful for me.

Of course, when the Malays started to once again supporting Umno, they switched to insulting them even more by accusing the Malays of condoning corruption and abuses of power.

They forgot that the results of GE14 was because many Malays, including even Umno members gave them their votes because they believe in what Pakatan leaders said about Umno.

After all those insults, there's no way the majority of Malays will not support Umno and its BN allies again.

That was what happened in Johor, Melaka and all those earlier by-elections.

Yup, they have no other choice but to vote for Umno and its BN allies now, even after the nonsense in Johor that day.

They would just stomach that one for now and deal with it later.

Seriously, I'm writing this not because I'm campaigning for Umno and BN. 

I'm writing this, because it is the reality on the ground.

By the way, I think BN can still win about 14 of the 26 parliament seats in Johor. If not for the nonsense that day, it could probably win up to 19 or 20.