Thursday 3 October 2019

Umno candidate likely for Tanjung Piai

Someone from Johor told me last night that BN is almost certain to field an Umno candidate for the Tanjung Piai by-election.

The guy who is well connected to the Johor Umno establishment said the leading candidate is Tanjung Piai Umno division chief Jefridin Atan.


I'm not sure where he got his information from but he also claimed that the matter had already been decided by the Umno leadership.

Well, whatever.

I had stated my preference here,


But if Umno people insist on contesting the seat, then that's up to them.

Actually, I don't blame them.

After all, despite the constituency used to be an MCA stronghold, its Malay majority there stood at 57 per cent.

It's about the same as Cameron Highlands which BN won a few months ago after MIC gave way to a BN's Orang Asli candidate.

I don't think Pakatan can even accuse BN of playing the racial card on this one.

Tanjung Piai parliamentary constituency was set up as part of the re-delineation process in 2003, just before the 2004 general election.

It was originally a DAP versus MCA venue.

However, it was DAP which fielded a Malay candidate first in 2008 and then in 2013, hoping to sway the Malay majority there to vote for them. It didn't work.

In the last general election, Pakatan fielded a Pribumi Bersatu candidate there, a Malay from a Malay-based party against BN's MCA candidate.

They won. As I argued in my previous post, it's the Malays who gave the Pakatan candidate his victory.

Now it looks like BN may respond to that by fielding an Umno candidate this time.

I think even MCA understand this move was necessary.

Well, I 'm still hoping for an MCA candidate to be fielded there for reasons which I stated in my previous post, but if Umno insist on fielding theirs, then so be it.

If BN wins, then Umno will increase their parliament seats by one,.....but that's about it.

However if the Umno candidate lose, even though the risk is not much, it will be a big blow to BN and its allies.

Well, bear in mind that MCA's Wee Jeck Seng won over 30 per cent of the Chinese votes there last year, which is a lot considering the circumstances at that time. I don't think the Umno candidate will get that for BN this time.

So, BN need to make sure that at least 80 per cent of the Malays who made up the 57 per cent voters in Tanjung Piai are on their side.

Achievable under the present political climate, but the risk is still there.

See lah how it turns out.

15 comments:

  1. Confirm umno akan bertanding. Wee Ka Siong pun dah akur. Cuma zahid belum endorse strategically.
    KESIMPULAN:
    Kepada 70 peratus pengundi atas pagar di konstituensi Tanjung Piai, ingatlah keputusan tidak akan mengubah kerajaan persekutuan apatah pula kerajaan negeri. Jadi SILA PANGKAH Lawan Pasukan Tun M. Ia baik untuk kita, RAKYAT MARHAEN!

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    Replies
    1. baik pun dengan power sokongan
      '70% melayuu mosleem" BN menang. boleh lah tokong lim gone in imat silkt duit allocation parlimen. dulu jibby lagi banyak jimat. semasa BN kawasan geng lim gone in dapat "kosong" allocation. berbillion jibby jimak, kan! kan!

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    2. MCA senyum dalam tangisan melepaskan kerusinya dirampas MCA Baru, 'Malay Chauvinist Activist' aka 'Ketuanan Melayu' aka UMNO.

      Kesiannyerrr.....!!

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    3. Pak Othman sakit hati ke kalau calun Melayu? Bukan idola saudara Tun nak anjur Konges Maruah Melayu? Kira chauvinis ke tak? Atau tengah mengelupor pasal Melayu dah tak sokong PH? Begitulah Tun, masa nak sokongan Melayu siap menangis dan merayu. Macam macam janji. Bila menang maka Melayu dihina sebagai malas dan segala janji hanya auta. Ramai dah sedar PH Kerajaan gagal. Bila Othman nak tinggalkan taksub Tun?

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  2. Umno must be seen as winning the hearts of malays to keep the momentum and wave into the next election. If it is MCA though they can win the by election, Umno will gain nothing. So, it has to be Umno.

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  3. MCA turn will come in Perak soon.

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    Replies
    1. Yes, hoping kor ming parlimentary seat got disqualified due to seditious remark to sultan of Selangor. Then we can get mca to finish d4p.

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  4. KIta semua Malaysian maa aa , " it's a Malay majority stood at 57 per cent" ,hai yaa mana atak kila bangsa maa aa.

    Sikalang itu sekolah Cina pon sutak kasi iktilaf lea aa ,kila-kila macam sutak sama maa aa ,apa pasat mau kila lagi kalau itu calon India ka , Cina ka atau itu kawasan Cina lebih ka ,Melayu lebih ka , mana atak Malaysian ini macam maa aa.

    Cakap tatak kila ,tapi manyak kila.

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  5. Confirmed Tg Piai will have an UMNO candiate. Most likely will be Annie's favourite UMNO guy in Johore, Khaled Nordin.

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    Replies
    1. Lost parliament seat, lost state seat, lost entire Johor...sigh. Stupid or what?

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    2. Betul..betul..betul..!!

      Budak toyol belaan Shahrir Samad...!!

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  6. Boring la, Annie

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  7. Tg Piai is for BN to lose. Strategy should be based on realistic ground survey.

    What is important is Pakatan Harapan gets trounced!

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  8. Annie, kau nasihat kan saje kpd MCA supaya concentrate untuk Penang. Parti gerakan da berambus dr BN, apalagi..buat la keje kat Penang, baru la anak jantan!!.. Ini tak abis abis mengharap undi melayu umno nak naik parlimen, apa barangggg MCA??!!

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  9. Chinese shd either vote Bn or refrain fr voting in Tjg Piai.

    Let Umno slay Bersatu.

    ReplyDelete