It is based on the outcome of the just concluded Umno's wings polls and what will likely to happen on Saturday.
I believe the current Umno leadership has drawn out their succession plans and will stick to it till the end, even to the point of risking Barisan Nasional losing the next general election.
So, this is how I see the likely outcome of the 2018 Umno elections for the top posts:
President: Datuk Seri Najib Razak (to win uncontested)
Deputy president: Datuk Seri Hishammuddin Hussein (will defeat Datuk Seri Ahmad Zahid Hamidi in the contest for the post)
Vice-presidents:
1. Khairy Jamaluddin (will get the highest number of votes in the VP race)
2. Datuk Seri Mohd Khaled Nordin (rewarded for being loyal to the current leadership by being roped in to run alongside Khairy in the VP race)
3. Datuk Seri Shafie Apdal (the usual suspect to fill up the Sabah VP quota)
Wanita chief : Datuk Seri Shahrizat Abdul Jalil (still going strong within Wanita despite having problems to be fielded as an electoral candidate. She will continue to lead Wanita well into her 70s)
Youth chief : Khairul Azwan Harun (To win uncontested as a reward for being loyal to Khairy)
Puteri chief : Yet to be decided (not really important)
Yes, it's going to be a policy of maintaining the status quo, just like what had been designed for the ongoing current party elections. Those who go against the wishes of the leadership will lose.
Should be noted though, that the accuracy of this prediction depends on Barisan Nasional winning the GE14 which likely to be held earlier in the year 2018.
If the coalition loses, then all bets are off.
Well, probably no one will want to contest for any of the Umno posts if BN lose and most likely to be dissolved.
Everyone from the sinking Umno boat would then be clamoring to join the new rulers, Pas, PKR or even DAP.
Mau hidup beb.
Excellent line up to lead the opposition. Surely Khairy won't be there, he is alreadyon the other side.
ReplyDelete"Everyone from the sinking ship....clamouring to join the new rulers!
ReplyDeleteMau hidup beb" or is it mau WANG.
Only politician? The Rakyat also mau hidup, ma. Why not we get rid of all politician, especially those who support criminals and corruption. Let the Monarch rule as in Saudi Arabia or Brunei.
Sabah, Sarawak, Melaka and Penang can crown their own among the majority natives.
RD.
New thread from Dr. M in his blog. Journalists should run the country instead of politicians. If that applies to Malaysia, Zam, Kadir Jasin, Rocky bru, Johan Jaafar, Joceline Tan, Azam Aris and scores of seasoned journalists should sit in the cabinet to chart the course in the country.
ReplyDeleteUmno is sinking , jom ramai-ramai masok DAP , ooP ! ,one problem arise ,does the Chinese allowed the gathering of Malay in DAP .
ReplyDeleteYes and to Top it All...Mahathir would be Still Alive and Kicking and Still Continue to Kacau Daun!
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ReplyDeletewhat happen to good and capable people like tok pa, husni , ahmad shabery , anifah , nur jazlan and anwar musa and few more are they not in the equation
Nur jazlan?
DeletePasti ada pertukaran memandangkan umur TSMY akan menjangkau 70 thn. Tetapi bab siapa akan mewarisi jawatan Timbalan itu terlalu subjektiflah. Jangan kerana KJ dan Kak Ijat berjaya mempertahan jawatan kepercayaan kita mula goyang. Hakikatnya Kak Ijat dan KJ tiada lawan yg setanding. Nama2 yg diberi terlalu kecil dibandingkan karisma Kak Ijat dan KJ.
ReplyDeleteBagi kerusi Naib Presiden peluang lebih setara. Jika ada sedikit kelebihan saya andaikan Zahid, Hisham, Mukhriz, Shafie. Ali Rustam dan Isa Samad sedikit terkebelakang. Tetapi dlm politik macam2 boleh jadi, boleh jadi kehadiran Ali Rustam dan Isa Samad mampu mengacau undi Mukhriz di Selatan. Bayangkan org selatan letak Hisham, Isa, Ali di setiap kertas sudah pasti kem utara tergugat. Saya ingatkan ini bukan soal adil tak adil, pemilihan adalah adil. Cuma strategi kena betul.........
Lima tahun lagi saya kira nama Mukhriz, KJ, Khaled Nordin bakal mewarnai Umno. Ini semua pemimpin pelapis yg hadir di era thn 2000 pemimpin sekarang yg majoritinya muncul diperingkat pusat dlm 90an. Hal timbalan spt yg saya sebut tadi subjektif silap2 kalau Mukhriz menang besar kali ini dia boleh buat kejutan lima tahun lagi. Its about strategy dude. Jgn marah tukang kira. U suruh dia ulang kira undi, dia akan ulang balik. Kalah tetap kalah. Menang tetap menang.
Kalau muka-muka di atas dikekalkan, takde masa depan nampaknya negara aku ni...pusing-pusing pada orang yang sama, dah macam dinasti dah..hai apa nasib korang rakyat MALAYSIA
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