Thursday 27 June 2013

It may not be a disaster for Umno to lose Kuala Besut

First, I would like to express my condolences to the family of Kuala Besut assemblyman Datuk Dr A Rahman Mokhtar who passed away yesterday.

Alfatehah.

Then, there is this matter of having the first by-election just right after GE13, which is hopefully not the start of a series of by-elections as it was after GE12 in 2008. We do want our wakil rakyat to remain healthy and serve the rakyat.

Well, as everyone must have read by now, it's going to also be a very critical by-election for Terengganu as a BN's defeat in Kuala Besut will mean the state will have a hung state assembly with Pakatan and BN having 16 seats each.

If this happens, a snap state election should be the answer to break the deadlock. (It should nonetheless be noted that the State constitution is actually silent on such an instance.)

However, I believe the likelihood of BN losing in the coming by-election in Kuala Besut is relatively low as the late Dr Rahman had successfully defended the seat with a comfortable majority of 2,434 votes.

It was just a slightly reduced majority from the 2,631 that he won in 2008, and considering the currently fractious state of Terengganu Umno after DS Ahmad Said took over as MB, the late Dr Rahman actually did well to win by that margin.

The constituency has over 17,000 voters.


Now, everyone in Terengganu that I know admitted that Ahmad Said is not really a good MB or State Umno chief.


I admit that I'm not an expert of Terengganu but the signs were too obvious that Umno in the state need a change of leadership.

For those who choose to disagree, please tell me, what had Ahmad Said did for the State over the past five years and what had he done to reunite Terengganu Umno?


His appointment as the Menteri Besar had divided Umno in the State and this was obviously the main cause for the poor Terengganu BN's performance in GE13.

For those not familiar with what had happened in Terengganu after the GE12 in 2008, here is a short summary from Wikipedia which I think is quite accurate,
Menteri Besar appointment crisis  

And now Ahmad Said had refused to let go of his post even after the near disaster for Terengganu Umno in recent general election where the number of BN's seats in the 32 seats state assembly was reduced from 24 to 17, paving the way for the possible hung state assembly after the coming Kuala Besut by-election.

I had heard of sinister stories about Ahmad Said's refusal to step aside as MB but to be fair, I choose not to repeat such hearsay here.

Thinking about it, it did dawn on me that it would not be such a disaster for BN to lose the coming by-election in Kuala Besut.

Maybe it is good to have a snap state election after that so that Terengganu Umno could have a proper change of leadership.

At this point, Umno really needs selfless leaders to carry on with its struggles.

Everyone in Umno should acknowledge that the days of party warlords preserving their selfish vested interest at the expense of agama, bangsa and negara were over.

18 comments:

  1. Voters BN dari Trengganu yg nak pulang undi tapi takde duit tambang, minta le BN tolong2 sikit, atau pun sediakan BAS special (tambang dan meals percuma) to make it convenient for them to go home.

    Have this facility available at all States.

    Last GE13 few Sarawakian and Sabahan voters living in my area were not able to go home to vote due to financial constraints (tambang keluarga too expensive).

    Trengganu kan kaya minyak - spend some money here...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. bangang betoi, tak ada duit tambang pon salah UMNO ke ???

      Delete
  2. Annie : "Now, everyone in Terengganu that I know admitted that Ahmad Said is not really a good MB or State Umno chief."

    Woi Annie, please don't write rubbish...you no represent people of Terengganu !!

    ReplyDelete
  3. ya...appoint Ghani as Terengganu MB is the best solution !!

    ReplyDelete
  4. "Everyone in Umno should acknowledge that the days of party warlords preserving their selfish vested interest at the expense of agama, bangsa and negara were over."

    .. if only there is somebody who is strong enough to knock this fact into the heads of UMNO warlords. Only then UMNO will emerge stronger..

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  5. The seat being an Umno stronghold Godwilling BN will have a very good chance to retain it in the coming byelection, provided a winnable candidate is chosen. However in the worst scenario if BN were to lose & BN will endup having the same number of seats in the state assembly everything is not lost yet for BN. The reason in my view is that BN being the incumbent state government will still be having the extra vote of the speaker, since he has the casting vote in event of deadlock if a vote of no confidence is tabled by PR in assembly
    meeting.

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  6. Madam Annie, Allow me to comment on this.
    1) Kami tak suka MB kerana pentadbiran yg sangat lemah. Dia hanya pandai berjanji dan memberi kenyataan media, tapi zero bab implementasi.
    2) Calon2 wakil wakyat yg dipilih, maafkan saya, calon kitar semula dan tak berkualiti. Dengan ada dikalangan calon yang tidak berpendidikan tinggi, saya amat hairan kenapa DS Najib langsung tak peduli pasal TRG.
    3) Calon2 dari PAS lebih profesional dan mempunyai kelayakan pendidikan yg bagus.
    4)Sampai skrg stadium runtuh tak baiki2. Bila ditanya, boleh pulak salahkan sana sini. Siapa yg berkuasa skrg, kenalah ambil tanggungjawab tu.
    5) Tak ada perubahan besar sejak MS (Mat said) ambil alih Trg daripada zaman Idris Jusoh. Kalau ada pun di kawasan Kijal, konon nak dirikan kompleks tekstil. Tu pun tak bukak2. GIANT yg buka di Kijal pun asyik lengang sahaja.
    6) Calon yang berpendidikan tinggi, ada PhD, Master, ditolak mentah2. Takut kedudukan beliau tergugat. Obviously.
    7) Memandangkan Besut kawasan UMNO yg agak kuat, kebarangkalian kalah tu sedikit, tapi ada juga kemungkinan sebab org meluat dgn MS.
    8) Calon yg sah2 ada kes SPRM macamana boleh lepas jadi wakil rakyat? Tapi disebabkan TRG ni negeri yg kurang dapat perhatian, ditambah pula dgn Red Bean Army kurang attack negeri ni, jadi lah negeri yg tidak popular. Kalau ni Selangor, sah2 keluar dlm The Star selalu psl calon tak ada pendidikan tinggi, calon ada kes SPRM, calon pakai title 'Dr' kehormat. Yes, semua di Terengganu.
    9) Berpuak2 dlm UMNO di Terengganu, perkara biasa.
    10) UMNO terengganu (MS) memang anti dgn calon yg berpendidikan tinggi, hebat, pandai bercakap dalam BM(yang betul) dan English. Sebab? mesti kedudukan MS tergugat.
    11) Kami dah 'overdose' dgn poster2 besar pempimpin UMNO trg. Cakap aje kat mana tak ada muka MB? Billboard? Bunting? Poster? Kain rentang?. Penatnya nak tgk. Besar OK. Sila datang di sini dan kira berapa banyak poster beliau daripada sempadan masuk negeri terengganu sampai hujung sempadan lagi satu. Belum lagi cakap pasal wakil UMNO (pegawai pembangunan DUN) di tempat yg UMNO kalah. Pun gila glamor letak gambar ucap selamat hari raya, bukan seorang ok, dengan isteri lagi. Penting sangat ke membazir macam tu sekali. Kalau EXCO lagilah tak nak kalah, kain rentang ucap selamat hari raya dengan family ok. Ada ke kat negeri lain?
    12) Banyak ketirisan wang berlaku (boleh rujuk laporan audit negara). Lemah, lemah.
    13) Banyak betul wang rakyat dilaburkan untuk promosi diri sendiri. Di TV3, tak habis2 ke rancangan nak promosi diri sendiri melalui Terengganu kita? Siap guna suara sendiri utk promosikan program tu. Tolonglah Dato' Seri. Buat malu aje. Penatlah rakyat mengadap muka Dato' Seri kiri kanan depan belakang atas. Penat x 10000.
    14) Wakil rakyat PAS lebih humble (kecuali yang keluar video tu), dan wasatiyah berbanding UMNO. Penyokong PAS sahaja yg lebih2 dan over. Kalau UMNO, baru sepenggal jadi wakil rakyat (bukan EXCO), fuh, kereta mewah bersusun2 di garaj rumah.
    Ok, sekian sahaja komen emosi dari org Terengganu.
    (By the way Annie, I'm your silent reader and really love to read your blog everyday)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Tun Dr.Mahathir's firm and gentle reminder to us all ... several years ago applies today?

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_detailpage&v=yrMw0BxU4h8

      Delete
    2. geng idris jusoh dah mula tulis panjang...abis si Ahmad !!

      Delete
    3. Tak tahu pulak Ganu macam tu ,orang luar tengok macam bagus je !.

      Delete
    4. Haiya! Still in denial mode.
      Asal kritik kepimpinan mat said, panggil geng idris jusoh. Parah betul UMNO Terengganu!!
      Tebing tinggi, tak kenal maka tak cinta. Tak duduk, maka tak tahu.

      Delete
  7. It might not be a disaster for UMNO, but it could be a disaster for the people of the State. UMNO doesn't need a snap State election as it approaches its own Annual Assembly.

    ReplyDelete
  8. "Now, everyone in Terengganu that I know admitted that Ahmad Said is not really a good MB or State Umno chief."

    Saya anak Terengganu and well, got to agree with this statement.

    And yes, to think of..... Apa yang MB Terengganu dah buat sepanjang kepimpinan dia?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. apa lagi.... gasak duit rakyat Terengganu lah !!

      Delete
  9. I really want to join UMNO with some of my friends but:
    1)I'm a government servant
    2)Current UMNO leaders sombong.

    We don't really buy those Chinese-bashing stuff because UMNO leaders pun x jaga orang Melayu. Kerja malas. Pengisian ilmu kurang. Outdated. Lambat pick-up. Slow. Ada yang kaki minum lagi. Sapu kontrak anak beranak adik beradik ipar duai.

    We voted UMNO because we don't want Anwar to be PM. If Anwar goes, we might vote for Pakatan if UMNO hasn't change its ways of doing things and a better leader in Pakatan Rakyat emerged to takeover from Anwar. It is ironic that the existence of UMNO is because Anwar exist. The longer Anwar stays, the longer UMNO lives.

    UMNO really-really-really need Young Turks now!

    (Keep on blogging, hari-hari mau baca u punya blog)

    ReplyDelete
  10. same thing happened today. When I click your link using my streamyx line the site is down. When I use my handphone (Maxis) I can access your site..... strange isn't it?

    Visiting this site makes me happy :) :) :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. hey Annie, are you talking to yourself again ??

      Delete
  11. Umno..dulu kini dan selamanya...itu maknanya Umno is forever...never ever changed....so tak berubah lah walaupun undi dah merosot..its a dying dinosour...oppss..die no sore...

    ReplyDelete