Umno as the kingmaker

Anwar said he will be meeting the Agong on Tuesday to present his majority in parliament.

Is this for real?

Anwar is after all known for his drama.

However, there has been no denial from the Istana Negara.

So, I think the Agong must have been informed that Anwar do actually have the number and granted the audience because he wants to know whether it's true.

The Agong must have prior information on the matter to grant the audience.

It's the king's job anyway, the same with what he did leading to the formation of Muhyiddin's Perikatan Nasional government.

Now everything points at a faction of Umno, particularly the Zahid's gang, as the ones who may be providing Anwar with the extra MPs to form the majority in parliament.

Why would Zahid do that?

Well, as you all may know by now, Muhyiddin's Pribumi Bersatu people are insisting that they are the ones who should lead the PN coalition.

Umno, they said must give way to them.

Some of the more rude ones even said Pribumi Bersatu should take the lead because Umno is after all a corrupt party.

They don't care how Umno people feel about them saying that.

It should be remembered that Pribumi Bersatu was not that long ago almost a gone case after a series of by-election losses, particularly when their candidate was humiliated in the Malay-majority Tanjong Piai by BN, which fielded an MCA candidate.

I even believed that the party would be dead by now if it didn't turn against its Pakatan Harapan allies to form the PN government.

And still now, they want to be the king on top of the hill. 

Then there is Pas, who is quite happy with what's happening to Umno under PN.

They probably think that their party could benefit too from Umno getting weaker under the coalition.

Pas has after all always wanted to be the main Malay-based party.

There were already talks that Pas wants the whole of at least Kelantan, Terengganu and Kedah while Pribumi Bersatu was said to be demanding to contest up to 50 seats in GE15, most of which are in areas traditionally known as Umno's strongholds.

Some Umno leaders, particularly those who gain positions and rejuvenated political career under the PN arrangement don't seemed to care about all that.

They said Umno need to sacrifice itself for the interest of Malay unity.

However, many others are beginning to realise the danger to their party. Umno may soon be irrelevant if the current situation continues.

When the well-liked Mat Hasan came out with a statement right after the appointment of Pribumi Bersatu guy as the new Sabah chief minister that he wish Umno to stay away from PN, I started to believe that things were really brewing in Umno.

This came after Zahid said he would not stop any Umno MPs from supporting Anwar.

Since the Umno number one and two have made almost the same stand on this matter, then I think the possibility of Anwar getting support from at least a faction of Umno is real.

Would it be bad for Umno to join forces with Anwar because that means joining forces with DAP and its Amanah minions too?

Well, Anwar's PKR and DAP have different support base than Umno.

They will not likely try to encroach into Umno's traditional Malay strongholds like what Pribumi Bersatu and Pas are trying to do.

Amanah should not be a problem as it will just listen to what DAP tells it to do.

PKR would be concentrating on mixed urban areas, DAP on Chinese areas while Amanah takes what ever in between those two.

So, it's not actually really bad for Umno under such a deal as it would likely have more parliament seats than those three parties if it could win back the bulk of Malay electorates.

It would actually be a better deal than being bullied by Pribumi Bersatu and Pas and losing the Malay heartland to them.

But can Umno stomach Anwar?

Well, at the moment Umno has to stomach Azmin, ok. Same what.

How about DAP?

I have talked with a DAP friend and she said DAP may likely swallow its pride and work with Umno in order to get back to Putrajaya.

The party is in a worse situation now than at any other time during the long BN rule.

Its secretary-general Lim Guan Eng, along with his wife are facing multiple corruption charges, not unlike several Umno leaders.

The possibility of other DAP leaders suffering the same fate soon is real.

That put DAP and Umno in the same boat.

Then, there's the matter of stopping the country from being rule by an overwhelmingly Malay-dominated government.

I think Umno's MCA and MIC allies in BN would agree to make peace with DAP and vice versa to stop that.

They may even agree for Umno to be the dominant partner in a new coalition as long as they could be there in the government to protect their community's interests.

But can the Malays, in particular Umno members agree to such an arrangement with DAP?

I think they would, as long as DAP people don't kurang ajar towards them and other Malays like when they did so after winning GE14.

Well, DAP probably has learnt its lesson on that one.

Am I supporting this possible arrangement between Umno, Anwar and DAP?

I'm just an observer. But if I'm an Umno person, I would want my party to be in charge of things, even if it means playing the role of a kingmaker.

Anwar or Muhyiddin, if they want to be PM,  they must be nice and listen to my party.

But then again, I'm not even an Umno member.

Personally, I prefer Umno to just stick with MCA and MIC, along with those in Sabah and Sarawak under the multi-racial BN banner.

That, I think is better than all these bullshit coalition arrangements.