I'm expecting GE15 to be held about a month from now because everyone would need about that much time to prepare for it.
It would be better if GE15 is tomorrow but that's simply impossible.
The campaigning alone would take at least about two weeks.
The last general election held in November was in 1999.
To be exact, it was held on a Monday on Nov 29.
That was at the height of the end year monsoon season.
This time it would be a bit earlier, so that the risk of floods should be less.
Well, hopefully there will be no flood at all.
Anyway, I'm expecting BN to do well and will combine with the Sarawakians and Sabahans to form a stable federal government.
The results will most likely be similar to GE13's in 2013. The indicators all pointed to that.
BN will take most of the Malay-majority constituencies except the PAS' strongholds, particularly in Kelantan.
Pakatan will get all the non-Malay majority seats thanks to DAP.
Basically, things will be back to what it used to be - Malays divided between Umno and PAS while non-Malays mostly united under DAP.
Sarawak and Sabah will have their own autonomous set-ups.
PKR will be half dead while Pribumi Bersatu, Amanah, and the other small parties will be truly dead.
Yup, that includes Muda and Dr Mahathir's Pejuang.
I don't expect BN and its probable Sarawak and Sabah allies to have a two-third majority in parliament but they would by right have enough seats to form a government, which is stable enough to properly manage the country.
Ideally, I wish BN will put Mat Hasan as its PM candidate but BN will likely stick with Ismail Sabri.
I'm okay with that. What's important now is for us to have a stable government.
As I previously wrote, we need it to face the expected global economic recession next year.
No sure if you are born stupid or just pretend to be stupid. Umno is the most corrupt party and yet you support it - God bless you
ReplyDeleteIt is a self made.
DeleteIt is not we but let BN esp um×o faces the global economic recession. We the another half will just be a bystander doing nothing. Well folks brace for reintroduction of VAT.
Corrupt or not please drop Ismail Sabri. Such lame PM. Umno is confident of winning why don't they declare zahid as PM if umno win. Stand better chance nominate zahid as PM. No more lame Ismail. Cancel his surat wartikah. What a joke as PM this Ismail.
DeleteDumno the world's most corrupt and gila party la
DeleteMany others, including political analysts have predicted that UMNO / BN will win GE15, based upon the outcomes of elections and byelections since GE14 and observations of shifts in voter sentiment from the cities and towns all the way into the remotest rural constituencies, and analysts have pointed out that the rural and semi-rural constituencies deliver around 40% of the seats in parliament.
DeleteSo the final outcome of GE15 depends on the sentiment especially of the rural and semi-rural voters, whatever their priorities.
I expect zahid will be nominated as PM when umno wins. Najib to be released after umno wins.
ReplyDeleteJika PH Menang PRU15,Dap akan lantik semula Tommy sebagai AG.
DeleteKes Lim Guan Eng akan di gugurkan semula .semua Pakatoon &Dapigs Lackey akan diam macam tikus.Sebab Guan Eng Level Tokong
Jika Zahid jadi PM,ramai orang PH dan PN akan masuk Court Cluster,kes rasuah dan salah guna kuasa,Lim Guan Eng,Mahiadin ,Mat Sabu,Anwar.tunggu dan lihat.
DeleteMadey dan family akan cabut keluar dari Malaysia.Tunggu dan lihat ya
I look forward to see madey in court.
Deleteflood is a non issue, even with sampan and tongkang, umno supporter would sail and swim all out to vote a so called stable govt.
ReplyDeletei hope chinese will continue to support ph and anwar. i hope umno lose again. i hope traitor from pkr and bersatu lose all. i hope pas back to where they come from. i hope sabah sarawak can win more to let peninsula govt hear their voice. i hope no more pm bodo.
Saudara HY, biar betul .U kan bijak.Anwar ni kamu fikir lebih pandai daripada PM2 bodo tg kamu sebut2 sebelum ini ke?
Deletekeep on hoping , when you open your eyes , you are already in your grave is hoping you did well in this life
Deleteanon 1.06, tak cuba tak tahu, tapi ni dua biji confirm bodo.
Deleteanon 4.09, better than u totally no hope like living under umno, komunis, pas and taliban (interchangeable and carbon copy wakaka)
anon 11:30
Deletei dont need to put false hope. i am well prepared. i know what to do in case if bn win and if bn lose
History will repeat itself if BN and its allies just manage to win a marginal majority. Bear in mind that election during rainy season is rather risky as the reproductive rate of froggy is extremely high. Even if, with a 2/3 majority, unpredictable things can also happen. Until today, I still can't get enough of the howling of "I have the number, a strong, convincing and formidable one". Fantastically fascinating!!!
ReplyDeleteYehhh..! BN menang, rakyat senanggg...!
ReplyDeletePak Mail amat suitable sesangat become 'The poster-boy'... X kisah la 'boy' got ponoh rambut uban...but Mat Hasan to be PM? Aisey, orang nogori buat lawak, pandai la!
Please la!
Insha Allah all will be well.
ReplyDeleteThroughout my adult life, I have never seen an opposition so SCARE of GE. Like very scare. Scary.
ReplyDeleteThroughout your adult life, the opposition has always been the opposition. What is it the opposition fear?
Deleteall my adult life, i have not seen a more stupider person that you ha ha ha
DeleteThings will likely return to how it used to be. The country will continue on its slow slide to irrelevancy.
ReplyDeleteThe winner will win big. Like really big. Moral boosting big. The losers only win a handful of seats. Not more than 30. Demoralising defeat. Mosquito parties are the biggest loser. Almost all of their candidates will lose badly. The majority of the candidates too would lose their deposits.
ReplyDeletezahid for PM ! free najib ! what 1MDB ?
ReplyDeleteall hail corruption !
BN manifesto should be vote for us and we will get najib free.
ReplyDeleteYes all donations are welcome. Kerajaan tabung surau.
DeleteSaya harap PH akan buat Manifesto macam PRU 14 lagi.Minta Rafizi rapusi masuk kan juga formula formula turun harga kereta,turun harga minyak,gaji minima RM 5,000 .kami suka.senang nak kempen PH penipu & sembang kencang
DeleteThen what was the point of the budget? Is it fait accompli, if BN win it is the same budget, or a signal that bonus and cash handout/help will be there if you vote for BN, a Pre-election manifesto?
ReplyDeleteWas it a BN or whatever the current govt is called budget?
Why table the budget with a coalition you don't want and call the election a few days later when your central theme is a stable and exclusively BN + GPS govt?
If they usually table the budget at the end of October does this mean that technically there is no budget now that the govt is dissolved or that since the budget has been tabled and voted they can actually star paying the bonus's and cash handout/handup during the caretaker govt period?
Sorry just very curious about, this tabling budget and then calling elections a few days later I think is unprecendented in Msia or anywhere else
The budget tabled last week is proposal for 2023 budget. It still needs to be approved in parliment. New govn whoever it isj has two options, propose new budget or stick to the current proposal for approval by the new members of parliment.
DeleteLooking forward to the much anticipated PM candidates of both sides of the divide and the settlement of disputable PN. They must be working around the clock now while pulling their hair out over the strategic moves. This is literally the only time they knuckle down until then. If PH is again serious about taking over the office, it really needs to push the incumbent Opposition Head to the periphery and let a new face lead the pack, be it a peacock like RR can render way better. Truly, we had had more than enough of those dramatic episodes of "me, me, me, the next PM" from a narcissist who is suffering from delusion of grandeur.
ReplyDeleteDream on lah if u think anwar will make way for a new pm candidate! All of these boomers are selfish lot be it bn, ph, pn, dap, etc. At least make way for gen x to take over if it is too much for them to give way to gen y...
DeleteOver Anwar's dead body that he would make way for new blood. That is why PH must have the guts to push him out of the way that he refuses all along to let go. His lousy track record of unprincipledness was such a burdensome encumbrance to anyone who comes near him, which as usual, weighs upon, lugs around and downs the PH. Who would ever forget the contemptible happening in Malacca where he encouraged the jumping and accepting of froggie. Wondering if ever there is a day, he would come to his senses and give up his dreamed PM pursuit. Perhaps, over his dead body.
Deletei wont go and vote, as there is only 2 parties competing in my place , mca vs dap.
ReplyDeletehow to vote ? if DAP win....this bastards, keep on increasing the price and if bn win,,,some of my relatives..all this pigshits are a crony and they are getting richer and richer by the contracts given by bn although some of them dont even have spm and are a dato now lol
Chose the younger candidate if available. Msia's hope is in the young(er), the dinosours are not capable of changing & are only interested in defending the status quo
DeleteLet the people decide lah.
ReplyDeleteForget about pru15 or monsoon. Let stock up iodine pill.
ReplyDeleteAisay Annie....if BN read UMNO wins we get the same shit that we have now...bloated cabinet n Malays helming all d GLC (so much for keluaga media) corruption will hit d ceiling and all d thieves n crooks will b free n strutting their new found wealth. Annie if u want this...undi la UMNO
ReplyDeleteAnnie keep on writing. Dont bother the shouting crowd. Remember the silent polite majority is for u. If ramai yg maki hamun tu depa upset le tu. Some buttons terputus.
ReplyDeleteSaeeaya dah bosan dgn ini semua lepas pru nanti i might be taking my children offer to stay in uk for 6 months tengok anak2 dan cucu2 and spending my us dollar. Our country is going down the drain. At least uk offered my my children employment as docter an mjsd engineer. My generation was patriotic but younger malay generation are not addicted to janji palsu. So generation x y z choose your leaders carefully. Look at south of border neigbhour. The smartest and the brightest are leaving the country. They have to get peoples from india china malaysia to fill the gap to work any pay taxes to pay flr these leaving peoples parents pensions and other old age requirememt. When babyboomers retired at least 2 or 3 generation x y must pay taxes to provides the upkeep of the boomers. With declining population they have to import workers from oversea.
ReplyDeleteThis will happen to our country.
https://youtu.be/OK5xLuM1fJs
ReplyDeletePolis sila berlaku adil, jika anda pi tangkap mamat ni atas alasan sedition, sila tangkap juga mamat yg cakap hakim & peguam negara bawah kuasa ahli politik.
Anyone could tell that PKR is still haunted by its past spell of humiliating state election results. That is the exact reason behind its hesitation to hold the election simultaneously with GE15. Monsoon is just a lame excuse but planning to spend extra $ to have separate elections is fine, just like those forced elections to fulfill Anwar's political desires were ok. If one cares enough to calculate, how much public fund had actually been wasted in the hands of this power-crazed loony. Those millions of ringgit could, in fact, put to good for the poor. He is so fabulous when it comes to talk about poverty. Ye, only talk the talk. Such an idiotic chameleon.
ReplyDelete.... Jabatan Pengairan Selangor (JPS) memaklumkan 86 kawasan di Selangor berisiko mengalami banjir, banjir kilat, ribut dan kejadian tanah runtuh akibat taburan hujan yang dijangka berlaku ...
ReplyDeleteMohon pihak2 berwajib buat rondaan 24/7 awasi keadaan sbb byk pontianak berkeliaran sengaja bikin banjir kilat2 ini juga.
2008 dulu sebaik sja PH amik alih kerajaan Selangor kejadian2 ajiab telah melanda kawasan kami. Saluran2 paip bangunan kedai2 kami ada hantu pocong tiap hali latang kasi picah/bocor.. bil biasa RM50 melambung antara RM700-RM1.4K satu bulan. Depan2 kedai pula air subuh2 air pancut trsembuq sana sini keluaq dari tanah!! Haiyaa pontianak2 tetiba mayak sibuk latang kacau.
Tak caya gi check sendili bil2 air ajaib mangsa2 hantu air Selangor dari tahun 2008.
Professor Nasi Lemak
Malaysia ada satu tarikan baru. Visit the venice of malaysia. Free sampan ride will be provided to oversea tourist. Lagi hebat dari suzhou.
DeleteWahai Penyokong PH yg budiman.
ReplyDeleteAnwar Ibrahim cakap pintu terbuka luas untuk rundingan dengan Madey (GTA) & Mahiadin (PN).
Korang Okay Ke????
DAP Penang pun sudah U Turn ,nak bubar kan DUN ( lawan logik Chairman PH)
Sokong pintu 'belakang' dia terbuka luas dgn syarat angkat dia menjadi Peliwat Malaysia(PM) nombor 1 bersama2 Sandakan nombor2. Hurray!!
Deletedap is a u turn party with principle, and always thick face enough to condemn tis accuse tat bec house no mirror. penang chinese no diff with umno supporter, vote with two eyes close. umno shd dumd mca and embrace dap, both same same.
DeleteIn early 80s i was a young senoir executive in one of multinational oil company. I was educated in usa and uk and not that a religious muslim. While taking a cab to attend a meeting in Singapore, i had a chat with cab driver. So of sudden he told me that muslim will never eat pork but are tempteded to corruption. He said if you eat pork the sin is between you and allah. It you eat using corrupted monies fed your families, give to your relatives and friends they will vear the consequences from allah as mentioned so mentioned so mant times in quran that hell fires are from idols and human that comsunmed all illgotten means. That is why i will never ever accepted or associate with those who are corrupted as i do not . Allah is burning the flash to consumming ill gotten means. That is how i will be guided. So friend choose carefully your friends and your leaders. As a muslim you will be answerable in hearafter.
ReplyDeleteKalau nak klentong pun, pls lah, make sure your grammer matches who u claimed to be!
DeleteSupport for BN has decreased since 2008. In the last GE, the decrease has continued and it will continue in the coming GE. The main reason is failure of BN to rebrand itself. I think Annie the maximum that BN can win is 50 parliamentary seats. Because of this, it really needs the help of PN, GRS and GPS.
ReplyDeleteTrue, support for BN has decreased since 2008 but PH failures after winning in 2018 proved that we don't have an alternative to replace them for now. BN will get the simple majority as well as the Sabahans and Sarawakians to set up a stable government.
DeleteI believe you truly knew Rafizi was right that Rembau is not a given, otherwise the need for this post...!!
ReplyDelete