Jazlan's honest answer

 In this previous post

• Umno, grow a real backbone, please

I wrote;

excerpts -

For one thing, I'm quite confident Umno and its BN allies in Johor will not be doing so great like they did in the state election if GE15 is held now.

They may likely lose a lot of those marginal parliamentary seats in the state.

If you don't believe me, go and ask Johor Umno deputy chief Jazlan whether he is eager to again contest  the Pulai seat, which he lost in 2018.

The guy is normally quite honest about such things and I expect him to give you an honest answer.

And last night the guy gave his honest answer;

Jazlan will not try to win back Pulai parliamentary seat in GE15

excerpts;

He pointed out that despite BN winning the recent Johor election by clinching 40 out of 56 state seats, the coalition only won about 43 per cent of the popular vote.

He said BN should have win at least 60 per cent of the votes to be confident of making a full comeback at the next general election.

“The Johor state election may have been won by BN, but don’t be overjoyed as the figures also showed that we have lost our grassroots support. Sadly, this also makes it difficult for BN to reclaim Pulai,” he said.

I was told that Jazlan actually became truly convinced that he can't win back Pulai after the MB appointment bullshit stunt that they pulled after BN won the state election.

He must have known that whatever sympathy the better educated Johorean Malays have for Umno in the state was lost that day.

They are not going to let themselves get conned again....at least not willingly.

And for Jazlan, whose Pulai was a marginal urban constituency, he knew that he can't do without the support of that group of Malays.

As I previously pointed out, about half of Johor's 26 parliamentary constituencies are similar to Pulai.

Umno/BN actually have less than 10 parliamentary constituencies with comfortable Malay majority in the state that they could really consider as white areas. 

And of course, DAP, despite its current troubles, is still quite safe at their Chinese majority strongholds.

Yup, GE15 in Johor would be a totally different ball game than the recent state election.

I have seen this from the start and that's why I was so pissed off when the MB appointment bullshit happened.

Just when Umno needs all the credibility that it could muster, they did that crap again.

Really frustrating, okay.

Tomorrow the lame duck MB will name his exco members. 

But does it really matter?

The whole bunch will be lame ducks who won't really get to decide on anything anyway.

I know it, you all know it, Jazlan knows it....yeah, everyone knows it.

Ok, ok, ok.....I know I said in my last posting that I would try not to care about Johor anymore, but honestly, I can't resist it when I saw Jazlan's statement.

The guy is the Johor Umno deputy chief and was Pulai MP for 14 years, yet he knew he can't win the seat back despite his party forming the state government with two-thirds majority.

That's how fucked up the situation in Johor, and it was not even entirely Umno's fault.

Sigh.