Daim's perdition prediction

A friend working with Malay Mail forwarded this article on the GE14 prediction by former finance minister Tun Daim Zainuddin who several days ago started campaigning for Pakatan,

How Pakatan can win GE14,

 according to Daim

excerpts;

Daim said it is still uncertain to whom Putrajaya will fall, but it will only take a 10 per cent swing in votes.

There is no need for a so-called “Malay tsunami”, he said.

The veteran politician said PH will be able to retain Penang and Selangor, but could also take Perak and Kedah if the Opposition pact can fulfil certain conditions.

There is also a 50:50 chance of it winning Johor and Sabah, Daim said.

Actually, Daim's prediction was not so far off from the one I did here recently,

BN will win

except of course for the Sabah part.

Come on la, it can't be 50:50 over there....after all the good stuff done of late for the state by BN and so many key ministers appointed from Sabah.

Sabah is the main love of BN now....or maybe a close second to Sarawak.

And another thing about the Daim's prediction, I don't think it's 50:50 in Johor either.

Okay, there is going to be a tough fight but the way I see it the chances are more like 65:35 in BN's favour.

Well, this is Johor we are talking about, okay.

I have been hanging out a lot with an old friend here in JB over the past few days.

He has a lot of complaints about the current administration and listening to him may convince you that he has switched to Pakatan.

But actually he's not so.

"Memang lah aku dah menyampah dengan perangai ramai orang BN tapi rasanya masa nak memangkah tu nanti aku tak tegel (in Javanese : don't have the heart) nak pangkah pembangkang," he said.

I do understand his reluctance to switch to Pakatan as he is a voter at Iskandar Puteri (formerly known as Gelang Patah). There's no way he could make himself vote for Lim Kit Siang, the supremo of DAP

That's just the way it is for so many Malays in Johor, who grew up and become old with Umno.

Well, of course there are these

• Scary stories for Johor BN

but those do not reflect the common sentiment among all Johorean Malays.

I still think that the majority of them simply couldn't make themselves have any other government except the one being led by Umno.

Yes, they may have a lot of complaints, but the decades with Umno would not be easy to erase.

By the way, I'm leaving for Yong Peng in a short while.

Going to meet an old friend who is a senior Malay DAP operative.

The guy, who is from KL has been camping in that area for the past week, most probably doing party works to convince the Malay folks there not to be too scared of DAP.

I think it would be interesting to know what he got to say.

This is a picture I took during my rounds at Felda Taib Andak, in Kulai yesterday. Very nice, right? I also went to the nearby Felda Bukit Batu and the scene looked almost the same.

Back to Daim's prediction, this is mine which I wrote for fun almost five years ago on a sleepless night of  Dec 16 2013,

Five years from now, my prediction

I actually laugh when I read that again.

I wonder what's in Daim's mind about all these five years ago.